Unemployment
Odds increasing for rate hike at September FOMC meeting
US economy is strong enough to merit a further rate increase, Richmond Fed president says
Long-termism is necessary for a stable future – RBNZ’s Orr
Contemporary societies face challenges demanding focus on sustainable development, says governor
US may be over natural unemployment rate – Atlanta Fed president
Raphael Bostic estimates natural employment “is in the 4.2–4.3% range right now”
Automation of financial services poses problem for labour market
Central bankers fear the labour market may not recover as quickly as during previous technological revolutions
Policymakers should focus on slack even amid uncertainty – Fed paper
“Standard advice” from the literature may be flawed under current conditions, authors warn
Clarida confirmed as Fed vice-chair
US Senate approves appointment with 69 votes in favour, 26 against and four abstentions
Powell warns not all US problems can be solved by Fed
Fed chair implicitly defends monetary policy in face of Trump’s attacks
Senior Fed officials split over the state of US job market
Regional presidents and FOMC members see US under, approaching or beyond full employment
Trump says Federal Reserve should give him ‘some help’
US President says central bank should hold policy rates while he negotiates trade deals
Atlanta Fed estimates US GDP growth remains above 4%
Economy expanded by 4.1% in Q2, in strongest performance since mid-2014
James Bullard on 2% rates, tariffs and Fed leadership
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis speaks about the impact of US trade policies, the disruption to the banking industry from Silicon Valley, shrinking the Fed balance sheet and the potential for agent-based modelling
RBA trims inflation projections on low wage growth
Weaker outlook leads RBA to cut CPI forecasts to 1.75% in December 2018 from 2.25%
Eurozone mortgage lending back to pre-crisis levels – ECB
New loans reached 4.5% of GDP in the year to March 2018; average since 2001 is 4.4%
Strong US economy reduces risks from normalisation – Barkin
Richmond Fed president points out consumers are increasingly concerned about tariffs
Fed keeps rates unchanged but points to strong economic activity
FOMC says it expects to implement gradual increases in federal funds rate
BIS paper links Japan’s household debt to consumption behaviour
The researcher examines how Japanese household debt affects marginal propensity to consume
NZ parliament formally launches central bank review bill
The bill is now at the select committee stage, which usually takes around six months
ECB’s easing policies reduced inequality, paper says
Overall effects of monetary policy on income inequality are modest, paper finds
US expansion set to continue despite trade disputes – Powell
Protectionism may still negatively affect economy, Fed chair concedes
Fed signals solid growth in report to Congress
FOMC members support gradual normalisation of monetary policy
Weak US productivity behind low wage growth – IMF
Declining labour share of income is another contributing factor
BoE’s latest big data project targets labour mismatches
Eliminating regional mismatch could have prevented productivity shortfall, researchers find
Danish governor reflects on central bank’s legacy at 200th anniversary
Fixed exchange rate adopted in 1982 was a turning point, Rohde says
NY Fed paper: ‘replacement hiring’ affects productivity wage gap
Replacement hiring can explain much of the gap between wages and productivity, authors say