Economics
Central banks need short-run climate models – BdF governor
Governments may push central banks into ineffective climate action, Sarb governor warns
Eurozone inflation declines sharply in May
Core inflation declines from 5.6% to 5.3%
Hank model reveals monetary non-neutrality
Inequality and zero lower bound suggest monetary policy can impact long-term real rates
Subsidies could cut net zero transition costs, BdF paper finds
Using carbon tax revenues to fund new technologies would almost halve GDP loss, researchers say
ECB paper estimates inflationary effects of climate change
Rising temperatures are having persistent effects on prices, especially for food
Bernanke and Blanchard reassess causes of inflation surge
Economists who predicted surge misunderstood underlying causes, study finds
‘Robust’ wage growth consistent with disinflation – BIS paper
But firms need to avoid increasing their profit margins, authors find
BoE adjusting main models after forecast misses
Bailey says policy-makers decided to “aim off” main forecast after repeated errors
Financial security of US households ‘fell sharply’ in 2022
Inflation comes first in list of financial worries, Fed survey finds
Bank of Italy expresses concerns over flat tax
Official says policy is typical of emerging markets and could weaken income redistribution
US household debt passes $17 trillion
Mortgage originations fall to lowest level since 2014
Steeper Phillips curve cannot fully explain inflation surge – IMF paper
Structural factors have led to some steepening but it is not the full story, authors say
ECB paper suggests faster methods for estimating eurozone employment
Nowcasting tools outperform models currently used by ECB, researchers say
Advanced economies face slowdown and stubborn inflation
Jagjit Chadha analyses the shifting outlook for the world economy, with more hard work ahead for central banks
NBER paper proposes ‘resurrecting’ non-linear Phillips curve
Original version of the curve is “strongly non-linear” and helps explain current inflation, authors say
Regnology cements regtech-suptech dominance with Metadata acquisition
Series of bank collapses underscores need for timely data on firms’ regulatory metrics
Extended QE creates pessimistic sentiment – Bank of Canada paper
News and social media “significantly” impact market sentiment, researchers say
What economists learned from Covid-19
A rush of work on ‘epi-macro’ yielded breakthroughs and then faded. Will there be lasting benefits?
Eurozone inflation rises to 7% in April
Core inflation declined to 5.6%, but energy prices grew again
Book notes: Money and the rule of law, by Peter Boettke, Alexander Salter and Daniel Smith
A largely US-focused book, which hankers for more robust rules for central banks but isn’t explicit as to what kind
BoE’s Broadbent denies money supply is driving inflation
Deputy governor says M4 growth neither driven by QE or particularly linked to inflation
Structural reforms could ‘unleash’ Indian growth – IMF paper
Study highlights shift in sources of productivity growth in India