Growth
Norges Bank holds rates over Covid-19 fears
Norwegian central bank expects rates to remain unchanged over the next two years
Estimating the cost of a pandemic grant for the world’s poorest economies
The cost of support measures for vulnerable economies is manageable, says Steve Kamin, but political leadership may be lacking
Iraqi prime minister changes central bank governor
New governor pledges banking reform as finance minister warns country needs economic change
Fed presents two severe stress scenarios to test Covid risks
Limits on share buybacks and dividend payouts may be extended as stress tests emphasise risks
SBP offers overseas Pakistanis access to digital banking services
Prime minister says he hopes the Roshan Digital Account will help channel foreign exchange to Pakistan
Lower-income countries generate highest reserves growth
Most reserves portfolios appear to have weathered the Covid-19 crisis well
BIS warns of gap between market valuations and reality
Corporate credit spreads have tightened, despite what the BIS sees as a looming solvency crisis
Deep learning can beat other forecast methods – Bank of Korea research
Deep learning models have smaller margin of error than conventional methods, research finds, but data quality is key
BIS paper studies lifecycle of zombie companies
Number of zombie firms has risen substantially, and their future prospects are not good, authors say
Fed’s new framework will help poorer communities – former Fed official
New approach recognises benefits of long expansion to low-income communities, says Stephanie Aaronson
ECB should scale back monetary stimulus after crisis – Weidmann
Knot says central bank should adopt symmetry in the implementation of PEPP purchases
Broadbent dismisses concerns over monetary financing
High debt and aggressive easing do not equate to monetary financing, says Bank of England deputy
Fed feeling its way with new inflation framework
Average inflation targeting is broadly dovish, and could see rates stay lower for even longer
Raising inflation expectations may depress growth – Jackson Hole paper
More nuanced communication would help public understand state of the economy, say researchers
Record-low inflation may require ECB to boost PEPP purchases
HICP index expected to decline year on year by 0.2% in August; core inflation at record-low 0.4%
Uncertainty hampering Fed’s and Congress’s stimulus
Research says uncertain outlook created by pandemic has been a key contributor to size of recession
Japan’s economy needs bolder policies
PM Abe announces decision to step down with many goals still unachieved
Argentina requests new IMF programme
Government and central bank say economic stabilisation is not possible without recovery
Eurozone needs ‘forceful policy response’ – Schnabel
Banks in eurozone face “substantial pressure” from Covid-19, ECB board member warns
The eurozone’s eastern conundrum
Bulgaria and Croatia expect a net positive effect as they take final steps to join the euro, while the Czech Republic, Hungary and Poland remain reluctant
Bank of Spain research traces impact of lockdown
Authors call for exhaustive test-and-trace to avoid future nationwide lockdowns
Bank of Zambia cuts rates as Covid concerns intensify
Zambian central bank calls for debt sustainability policies as growth and inflation forecasts worsen
Financial indicators can warn of European growth risks – ECB paper
Index that aggregates financial variables in non-linear way provides most information – researchers
James Bullard on the Fed’s policy review, FSOC and forecasting jobs data
St Louis Fed president discusses his support for average inflation targeting, his concerns about US Treasuries market function, non-bank regulatory weakness and negative rates, as well as the unexpected success in using Homebase data to predict highly…