Research
Forbearance does not always lead to ‘zombification’ – BoE paper
Well-designed policies can support firms through temporary periods of stress, researchers find
Demographics could trigger closures of US universities – study
Research by Philly Fed says fewer young people are enrolling, which is adding to financial pressures
IMF team builds new multi-country semi-structural model
G3MOD designed for frequent analysis by central banks of trade and financial links
‘Inflation disagreement’ weakens US monetary policy – Fed study
Households’ inflation expectations differ from central bankers’, thus adding to post-Covid momentum
Tax avoiders less likely to channel funds through Netherlands – DNB
Annual flow of money to tax havens fell by 75% in just five years, central bank says
Generative AI can decipher FOMC minute topics – Fed research
Authors say technology could enhance public’s understanding of central banking
Stiglitz offers alternatives to standard theories of economic fluctuations
Nobel prize winner argues that endogenously driven variations are key to understanding economies
Phillips curve is convex in short term – NBER paper
Data on US and UK shows firms respond more to positive than negative demand shocks
US inflation expectations tick up across all time horizons
NY Fed survey finds more respondents expect prices to rise over one- three- and five-year timeframes
Italian lenders do not under-report default risks – central bank
Commercial lenders’ internal rating-based systems “less conservative” than central bank’s
Fed’s latest Beige Book reports modest growth across US
Boston was only branch to report decreased activity since October
Inheritance tax avoidance has fiscal impact – Bank of Spain study
Paper says loopholes led to effective reduction in tax rate of 1.3 percentage points in Catalonia
CBDCs would reduce foreign exchange risk – LSE study
Adoption of digital currencies could mean lenders needing to hold less regulatory capital
BIS study examines ways to improve catastrophe insurance
Financial Stability Institute says “parametric” policies can help businesses weather the storm
Eurozone needs ‘exceptional mechanism’ to resolve banks – BdF
Bloc is ready to resolve most challenges but still needs liquidity mechanism for larger lenders
South European states benefited most from NGEU – ECB
Recovery and resilience facility’s structural reforms expected to pay off in the long run
‘Financial conditions targeting’ could help stabilise output – paper
“Risk-centric” New Keynesian model highlights benefit of acting on financial conditions
Market-based systemic risk metrics ‘crucial’ for supervisors
Paper finds measures are effective at predicting crises in the US over a long period
Keep liquidity provision loose during shocks – ECB study
Central banks can lessen harm to economy by reducing liquidity premium, say authors
NBER paper offers ‘unified theory’ of liquidity traps
Researchers ask whether major economies are doomed to return to zero lower bound
US rate hikes ‘lock in’ homeowners – Fed study
Tighter monetary policy raises house prices and reduces churn, research finds