Research
Neutral interest rates at pre-pandemic levels, Bank of Canada finds
Nominal neutral interest rates in both countries sit between 2.25% and 3.25%
Oil shocks can be identified in real time, paper says
Bank of Italy researchers’ model identifies demand and supply shocks from daily data
Politics and economics drive swap line decisions – IMF paper
Financial and trade links as well as political reasons affect decision-making, authors say
Stress-test failures increase banks’ M&A scrutiny, Fed research finds
US lenders’ merger-related activity improves if they have failed tests, authors say
Dollar less popular for services trade than for goods – ECB paper
Large firms prefer sticking to the US currency, research finds
Fed policy has more effect during US recessions, ECB paper finds
Researchers use non-linear methods to examine effects of FOMC shocks
US news has a large impact on global bond yields – research
Bank of Canada research finds US news affects expectations in other countries
Inequality exacerbates crises in several ways, Fed research finds
High-income households have a high tolerance for risk, which boosts the non-bank sector
Mexico needs reform to fulfil potential – Dallas Fed paper
Anti-trust measures, easier market entry and FDI should aid growth, researchers say
Energy shocks create monetary policy trade-off, paper says
Rate-setters should consider energy prices’ impact on jobless, Bank of Italy paper finds
Generative AI’s impact on inflation unclear – BIS study
Inflation could worsen if people anticipate jump in productivity, authors say
European banks less likely to lend to green firms, says ECB paper
Public guarantee loans can help lower-carbon firms access bank credit, research finds
High interest puts pressure on US cattle farms – research
Wildfires and rising input prices are exacerbating factors, Kansas City Fed research says
Stablecoin rules are ‘diverse and fragmented’, FSI paper warns
BIS institute says it is “critical to align national regulatory frameworks”
AI threatens labour’s share of income, research finds
AI could increase inequality and social unrest, Philadelphia Fed paper argues
Monetary policy may have counterintuitive housing price effects – research
Researchers from the Dallas Fed say indirect effects may undercut policy’s aims
Dallas Fed analysis explains puzzle of strong US economy
Authors say US has enjoyed favourable supply-side conditions that others missed out on
US fiscal stimulus boosted vehicle price pressures – Fed research
Vehicle sales driven by consumer and small business stimulus, say Fed researchers
Anchoring inflation expectations increases FDI – research
Adopting inflation targeting also increases investment, researchers find
Debt-related driving bans create instability – Fed research
Punishments disproportionately affect low-income and minority communities
World faces economic fragmentation, paper warns
Bank of Finland economist warns of potential rise of competing trade blocs
Fight against rating inflation only partly successful – ECB study
ABS issuers still shop around for credit ratings despite tougher EU regulations, paper finds
Switch to gold standard could stabilise prices – Philadelphia Fed research
Hypothetical return to monetary system would only lead to short-term price movements, study finds
RBNZ should focus on fewer labour market indicators – paper
Researcher proposes using ‘high-quality’ indicators to monitor inflationary pressure