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Dutch paper explores information content of asset prices for inflation
Working paper finds high asset prices can be an indicator of either high or low inflation, though more commonly the former; considers information content of range of financial variables
European banks’ structure helps drive dollar-denominated debt issuance – paper
Bank of Spain paper examines the most prolific dollar-denominated debt issuers among European banks, finding issuance is driven by range of factors, including desire to hedge
Singapore’s GIC warns of lower returns in coming years
High valuation of asset prices and modest growth outlook points to lower returns in coming decade or two, GIC says; 20-year annualised real rate of return fell last fiscal year
Fed holds as near-term risks ‘diminish’
FOMC says near-term risks to US outlook have diminished, while economic activity is expanding at a “moderate pace”; keeps policy unchanged, but statement sees increasing odds of a hike this year
Irish central bank warns of ‘negative and material’ impact from Brexit
Quarterly bulletin discusses channels through which UK vote to leave EU will affect Ireland; economy expected to grow by 4.9% this year and 3.7% next
Bank of Israel aims to boost construction credit with new regulation
Banking supervision department proposes reclassifying credit risk in wake of financial institution’s efforts to insure against it; suggests it would free up $2.6bn of finance
Turkish governor says monetary policy will be simplified at ‘reasonable’ time
Turkish governor emphasises need to address “structural” causes of inflation and says effects of recent coup attempt should prove “short-lived"
Bank of Italy paper aims to improve on EC current account model
Research offers a new model of external adjustment; the EC’s model tends to mis-state cyclically adjusted current account balances of large eurozone economies, researchers argue
IMF paper examines impact of debt restructurings on growth
Growth usually declines after debt restructurings, but it can boost performance if the country exits a default spell, the authors find
Irish central bankers take first look at effectiveness of macroprudential housing policies
Ireland’s central bank publishes examination of its first full year of operating macroprudential measures affecting the housing market; compares data on borrowers subject and free from limits
IMF changes method for calculating SDR currency amounts
IMF will switch to new SDR basket in October, including renminbi for the first time; calculation will use new rounding methodology aimed at minimising deviation from weightings
Njoroge cites need to anchor expectations as Central Bank of Kenya holds
Monetary policy committee keeps policy rate at 10.5%; increase in fuel tax expected to put temporary pressure on prices, but not to push inflation outside target range
Chinese law doubts holding back RMB internationalisation – paper
A Bank of Italy occasional paper plots the development of renminbi trading in Europe; future development may be characterised by rapid advances followed by slower periods, authors say
EBA lays out policy options to deal with NPLs
The European Banking Authority issues report on non-performing loans, calling for consideration of ‘bad banks’ and formations of databases on collateral assets such as real estate
Do not let resilience foster complacency, Carney tells G20
In his capacity as FSB chair Mark Carney acknowledges financial system resilience in the face of stress, but emphasises need to finish implementing post-crisis reforms
Menon pledges tougher measures on AML controls in Singapore
Ravi Menon says central bank will conduct more intrusive probes of higher-risk institutions and take stronger actions where practices fall short; monetary policy likely on hold for 2016
Italian paper looks at effects of Basel leverage ratio on repo and refinancing
A move to higher leverage ratios by eurozone banks has not decreased their repo and refinancing activities, a Bank of Italy paper says
Irish central bank announces new protections for mortgage borrowers
Variable-rate housing loan borrowers must be informed of cheaper alternative mortgages and have rate rises explained to them by lenders
Turkish central bank to meet with investors under new comms practices
Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey announces string of new communication practices that will see it meet with wider range of stakeholders
EBA publishes final draft of IRB assessment methodology
The EBA publishes the final draft standards by which European regulators will assess banks’ compliance with the rules on using internal models to judge capital adequacy
ECB paper compares ability of indicators to predict bond risk premia
Researchers assemble 132 macroeconomic indicators and compare their performance against financial measures as predictors of eurozone countries’ bond risk premia
BoE prize-winning research favours CCB over leaning against the wind
Authors from Lancaster University find credit spread-augmented Taylor rule damages welfare, while a recent BIS paper takes a different analytical approach
South Korean governor calls for international swap line expansion
Lee Juyeol welcomes improvements in financial safety nets at both global and regional levels, but suggests more co-operation is needed to ensure they expand further
Mongolia governor replaced two years before end of term
Bayartsaikhan Nadmid, chairman of the supervisory board of the National Agricultural Co-operative Federation, takes over leadership; departing governor had two years left to serve