Articles by Central Banking Newsdesk
FSB fleshes out guidance on resolution
Reports add detail on emergency funding needs for global banks and maintaining the continuity of critical services during resolution; most standard-setting work expected to be finished in 2017
RBI’s Mundra says banks must evolve or face extinction
Deputy describes “dismal future” for banks, saying they must embrace a socially responsible approach if they are to avoid the threat posed by fintech firms and other non-banks
Bullard backs new approach to forecasting
Idea of economy converging to a single steady state has “likely outlived its usefulness”, St Louis Fed president says; instead reserve bank will now focus on regime-based forecasts
RBI should improve link between analysis and macro-prudential policy – FSB review
The Reserve Bank of India should consider regular financial stability meetings to set policy, and it needs to support its decisions with deeper analysis, a peer review finds
Long-run financial market volatility has strong effects on real economy, researchers say
A Bank of England working paper presents a method for breaking financial market volatility into long- and short-run components; long-run volatility closely linked to economic fundamentals, authors say
Belarus central bank reports ‘significant’ credit risk to country’s banking sector
A large proportion of Belarusian banks’ risky debts are owed as a result of financing government, central bank says; report echoes IMF call for major reforms to state-owned enterprises
Korea needs right kind of banking competition – quarterly bulletin
Competition can harm welfare if it is focused on gaining market share through a price war, authors say; Korean system may benefit from greater diversity
Malaysia’s Ibrahim proposes audit enhancements
Bank Negara Malaysia governor says audit faces new challenges and should cover broader risks, while expanding its scope to include “strategic auditing”
Japanese researchers model success and failure of international cooperation
Various factors can lead to cheating on global monetary policy cooperation, paper published by the BoJ finds – but careful design can help the agreement hold up
Atlanta Fed president ‘not prepared to rule out’ further rate rise this year
Despite “troubling” headline GDP growth figures, “final real sales” figures point to US economy maintaining momentum and heading for third-quarter growth, Dennis Lockhart says
NBIM’s Q2 returns hit by Brexit turbulence
Second-quarter returns of 1.3% held back by European equities and UK in particular; real estate investments register second negative quarter
Paper outlines methods for creating country-specific banking crisis prediction models
Working paper tests models with country-specific and state-dependent parameters on a sample of 14 European countries; approach out-performs traditional early-warning models, researchers argue
Low inflation and tighter credit gave room for cut, RBA minutes show
Inflation looks likely to remain low for some time, board members note, while tighter lending standards make adverse effects of a cut less likely
Tajikistan objects to Basel Institute’s anti-money-laundering criticisms
The Basel Institute’s grading of Tajikistan as the third-worst money laundering jurisdiction in the world is based on an “absolutely incorrect analysis”, the country’s central bank says
UK inflation climbs in first post-Brexit data
Prices rose 0.6% in the year to July, the highest inflation number for nearly two years, with signs the effect of the UK’s Brexit vote may be starting to feed through
San Francisco Fed chief calls for policy target re-think
John Williams calls for central banks to consider raising their inflation targets or replacing them with nominal GDP targets; lower natural interest rates seem “poised to stay”, he argues
Philippines leads improvement in Brookings financial inclusion rankings
The Central Bank of the Philippines says rapid progress last year reflects the success of its financial inclusion strategy; Brookings report highlights the importance of a wide-ranging approach
Solomon Islands’ Rarawa praises ‘innovative’ financial inclusion plans
Financing initiative for coconut industry promises to extend “digital banking penetration” in the Pacific nation, governor says
Basel reports target gaps in CCP resolution framework
Reports by CPMI-Iosco and FSB find there are still gaps in CCPs’ implementation of recovery and risk management principles and regulators need to think more about resolution planning
BoE paper finds fault with empirical methods for studying contagion
Review of spillover and contagion literature finds methods plagued by bias and heteroskedasticity, concluding no single technique is flawless, but some offer a partial solution
Okun’s law is empirically robust but presents modelling problems, researchers say
Economists need to find more sophisticated methods to model the relationship between financial and labour markets, say the authors of an occasional paper published by the ECB
Credit contractions are significant cause of unemployment, researcher says
Data from 20 OECD countries shows that contractions in credit affect total, youth and long-term unemployment measures, a working paper from the Bank of Austria argues
Unconventional monetary policy does not rob the poor, Italian researchers argue
Studying the effects of the ECB’s quantitative easing programme on the wealth and incomes of 8,000 Italian households shows that the policies benefit the poorest, Bank of Italy paper argues
Islamic finance becoming ‘mainstream’ in Malaysia – BNM’s Ibrahim
Governor says Islamic finance has gone from a handful of firms to a quarter of the market in a matter of years; “pragmatic” approach may be part of success