Bank of Italy paper aims to improve on EC current account model

Researchers offer alternative model to evaluate role of cyclical factors

bank-of-italy
The Bank of Italy

Modelling of current account imbalances by the European Commission (EC) overstates their size in some eurozone countries - and understates others - a working paper published by the Bank of Italy argues.

In Adjusting the external adjustment: cyclical factors and the Italian current account, Silvia Fabiani, Stefano Federico and Alberto Felettigh present a new approach to current account modelling.

The authors seek to "evaluate the role played by cyclical factors" in the recent sharp reversal of

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