Inflation
Central Bank of Brazil hikes inflation forecast for 2014
Report released yesterday revises up inflation rate for 2014 by 50 basis points to 6.1%, 1.6 percentage points above target
BoJ review dissects inflation expectations
Economists from monetary analysis department say BoJ communication has generated a 'spike' in expectations around 2%, but dispersion is still ‘substantial’
Parliament eyes Riksbank's off-mark inflation forecasts
Report on Swedish central bank's performance in 2013 shows its inflation forecasts were off the mark; flawed forecasts have forced several central banks to upend policies in the past months
World should brace for impact of rising Chinese exports, report warns
Array of ‘major problems’ afflicting the Chinese economy is likely to require renminbi devaluation, with knock-on effects for the rest of the world, research warns
Brazil minutes highlight inflation 'resistance' concern
Central Bank of Brazil remains concerned about 'resistance' of inflation despite more than 400bp of rate rises, latest minutes show
ECB holds rates on back of ‘positive’ data
Mario Draghi attributes ECB inaction to improvement in economic data; new staff forecasts show inflation climbing to 1.7% only in the last quarter of 2016
Russia boosts forex firepower as ruble weakness shifts inflation risks to upside
The Bank of Russia has quadrupled the amount it will spend to keep the ruble steady; inflation expected to stay low but central bank is alive to upside risks
Iceland MPC fears debt relief package will boost inflation
Central Bank of Iceland frets over economic impact of government's plan to relieve 100,000 households of $1.32 billion in debt
Central Bank of Brazil hike 'signals end' to year-long tightening cycle
Central bank raises benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points to 10.75% in move that analysts say means a lower peak is probable
Rajan sets out five-point plan to tackle food inflation
Reserve Bank of India governor says monetary policy can help control food inflation, but insists the government 'has an important role to play'
Wages more sticky in the US than in Japan, BoJ paper finds
The empirical fit of the New Keynesian Wage Phillips Curve is generally superior for Japan, auhors note; inflation indexation plays a key role in the US, but is less important in Japan, they add
Finnish paper finds forecast errors correlate with subjective uncertainty, not 'disagreement'
Paper analyses forecasts in the ECB's Survey of Professional Forecasters and the US Survey of Professional Forecasters to find the best predictor of errors
Saudi inflation expected to fall below 3% in 2014
Country's cost of living index peaked at 4% last April before inflationary pressures in the transport and restaurant sectors abated during second half of the year
Price-setters still expect Sarb to miss inflation target
The South African Reserve Bank has succeeded in persuading analysts it will keep inflation within its target band, but price-setters' expectations remain higher
One in five Albanians has never heard of current or savings accounts
According to survey data analysed in Bank of Albania working paper, less than half of respondents know the concept of interest rates, but 80% understands the workings of inflation
Independence no substitute for rules-based policy
Thomas Cargill summarises the conclusions of four papers by world-leading economists on the issue of central bank governance and finds independence is overrated
'Cornered' Argentina introduces new inflation index
New inflation index announced by the government yesterday is a step in the right direction, according to analysts, who nevertheless remain concerned about how data is collected
IMF mission to Iran urges monetary tightening to ‘entrench' recent disinflation
Article IV statement calls for simplified central bank mandate and greater focus on price stability; says new authorities are ‘well aware of challenges and need to advance reforms'
ECB holds rates despite continued disinflation
European Central Bank holds refinance rate at 0.25% and shuns additional policy instruments despite inflation falling to 0.7%; attention turns to updated and expanded staff forecasts in March
Bank of Ghana brings forward rate decision as falling currency feeds inflation
The central bank's monetary policy committee will meet tomorrow instead of February 19 following further weakening of the cedi; analysts expect rate increase of at least 100 basis points
Kazakhstan experiences 10-year inflation low
Quarterly inflation falls to 0.6% in latest figures; National Bank of Kazakhstan predicts it will increase in the coming quarter but remain in check throughout 2014
Central Bank of Peru revises annual growth and inflation rates downwards
Bank expects inflation, at 3% annualised in November, to converge to 2% target in 2014; IMF projects 2.5%, citing 'well-anchored expectations'
Bangladesh Bank: inflation target ‘may prove challenging’
High food inflation and a pick-up in consumer demand could make it difficult for the Bangladesh Bank to restrain inflation to 7% for the 2014 fiscal year
BoJ mulls ‘more thorough’ communication
Minutes from December meeting reveal policy board members’ concern over market scepticism towards the BoJ’s path back to 2% inflation; suggest clarifying reaction function