Central Bank of Brazil hikes inflation forecast for 2014

CBB has hiked key interest rate by more than 400bp in past year

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The Central Bank of Brazil (CBB) has raised its inflation forecast for 2014 to 6.1% – 50 basis points higher than its previous estimate and 1.6 percentage points above target, according to the bank's latest inflation report.

Under a ‘baseline scenario', which assumes an exchange rate of 2.35 reais against the dollar and the the CBB's benchmark Selic rate remaining at 10.75%, inflation is projected to stay above 6% this year, before dropping to 5.5% in 2015 and 5.4% in the first quarter of 2016.

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