Research
RBA economists examine effects of price shock on ‘endogenous reserves'
When a small open economy depends on non-renewable resources to a large degree, the effects of a shock to the prices of those resources are amplified, paper finds
Russian interbank market lacks discipline, Bofit paper finds
Investigation into levels of market discipline in the Russian interbank market finds some discipline was present during the financial crisis, but even then it was insufficient to curb risk-taking
Interest rates best transmit South African monetary policy, say researchers
New Sarb paper analyses five transmission channels for a monetary policy shock, finding interest rates to be the strongest, and asset prices the weakest
Chicago Fed paper aims to explain asset fluctuations through ‘unified' model
Framework draws on two theories of the role of credit in asset price fluctuations; study is first step in larger project
New Zealand bond yields are determined globally, paper finds
Global factors are the dominant determinant of New Zealand 10-year bond yields, but shorter term borrowing depends much more on local factors, according to a new working paper
OTC derivatives turnover driven by 'non-dealer' contracts, says BIS
Article in latest BIS quarterly review notes share of inter-dealer trades shrunk to 35% in 2013; trading remains concentrated in major financial centres despite 'rapid' growth in EM currencies
Link between ECB liquidity ops and interbank repo breaks down in crisis
Researchers at the New York Fed find that the relationship between ECB monetary policy operations and interbank borrowing did not survive the collapse of Lehman Brothers and associated crisis
Unexpected increases in Fed funds rate prompt gold prices to rise
Atlanta Fed working paper examining futures data between 1998-2008 finds that unexpected changes in the Fed's monetary policy can influence commodity prices
Financial crisis hit Australian inventories, paper finds
RBA researcher tests theory that tight credit conditions caused Australian companies to reduce their inventories, and includes a case study on the automotive industry supporting the hypothesis
Basel capital ratios lost credibility during crisis - Atlanta Fed paper investigates
Working paper says reliance of the Basel standards on overstated asset values in reported equity capital caused capital adequacy ratios to lose credibility with financial markets
Financial literacy in France is correlated with political engagement, study finds
Working paper finds middle-aged men are the most financially literate demographic; little difference between different political orientations, but the disengaged score worse on the test
Uncertainty constrains credit supply, IMF paper finds
Working paper tests the theory that uncertainty would reduce the supply of loans in an economy, and finds it holds true - especially for smaller credit institutions
Eurozone household debt varies based on institutions, paper finds
Repossession periods are the strongest single determinant of the distribution of secured debt in different member states of the eurozone, with fewer borrowers where repossession periods are longer
ECB paper says global economy still haunted by ‘spectre of protectionism’
Researchers at the European Central Bank find evidence that countries still regress to trade protectionism in the face of recessions or loss of competitiveness; call for international peer pressure
Swiss paper dissects asset price responses to economic news
Researchers find the relationship between asset prices and economic news is shaped by the prevailing economic conditions – including policy rates and perception of risk
Irish governor backs domestic and export banking separation
Patrick Honohan says that, by keeping the export and domestic banking sectors separate in small countries, authorities can avoid having to put a cap on the size of banks’ balance sheets
Monetary union hampers current account adjustment, say Bundesbank economists
Paper examines current account dynamics in countries with fixed and floating exchange rates, and countries in a monetary union; find evidence that monetary union might aggravate existing imbalances
San Fran Fed letter highlights impact of oil prices on inflation expectations
Researchers from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco say consumers update their inflation expectations using a ‘few simple rules of thumb’ – one of which is linked to the price of oil
Polish paper explains perceptions of higher inflation
Economists at the National Bank of Poland construct a consumer perceived price index that reflects the population’s loss aversion to price increases
IMF paper highlights benefits of model-based approach to monetary policy analysis in LICs
New paper taking Kenya as an example finds benefits of a model-based approach to monetary policy analysis in low-income countries, including in countries with money-targeting frameworks
Diminishing importance of US in world economy mutes knock-on effects, finds BoJ paper
Tightening monetary policy in the US in the 1990s had significant adverse effects in the rest of the world - but the following decade, despite increased global integration, the effects were less
Greek paper finds Turkish economy bucks EU trends
Academics use a GVAR model to examine interlinkages between southeast European economies and how they react to eurozone macroeconomic policy; Turkey bucks trends followed by EU members
ECB paper proposes new metrics for competitiveness
Researchers say that conventional indicators of competitiveness are losing their relevance as production spreads across borders, and propose two new measures based on concept of global value chains
Canadian paper calls for ‘simple and digestible’ communication on financial stability issues
The paper says central banks should use plain language and build a coherent narrative when communicating financial stability concerns or policies