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Fed’s Fischer: econometric models are still flawed
US Fed vice-chair says models still cannot capture the complexities and rapid evolution of the economy – despite his hopes as an undergraduate
Market ‘tightness’ affects QE success – Riksbank paper
Model accounting for the demand and supply of bonds allows authors to reveal new insights into the price and liquidity impact of asset purchases
‘Lazarus’ hackers seek fresh targets via regulator websites
Group linked to Bangladesh Bank hacks may have compromised the website of the Polish FSA, using it to spread malware in a “watering hole attack”
IMF resources may influence EM creditworthiness – paper
The level of fund resources are more important than the means of lending, the IMF researcher argues
Canada’s Schembri highlights new inflation communication method
Bank of Canada has adopted three-pronged core inflation approach but now only publishes forecasts of headline inflation in its reports
Mersch: no political appetite for ‘European safe bonds’
The proposal for pooled, tranched bonds is “interesting”, but the public are likely to be suspicious
People: Kristin Forbes to depart BoE; Fed’s general counsel to retire
Monetary policy committee member will leave at end of term; Scott Alvarez to step down from Fed; Bank of Portugal replaces prudential supervision head; and more
ECB gives green light to Italian recapitalisation law
ECB raises no objection to decree but other obstacles may remain
BoJ’s Nakaso: inflation on upward path this year
Pressure on wages, rising commodity prices and a turnaround in expectations will drive up prices, deputy says; rejects calls for rate hike
Fed officials emphasise risks despite improving outlook
“Risk management” approach to policy needed despite improving outlook, say Evans and Kashkari; Bullard notes balance sheet adjustment also an option for tightening
Monetary aggregates useful as eurozone inflation predictor – paper
“Predictive content” of monetary aggregates has improved since 2012, ECB paper says
Esma sets out risks and benefits of DLT
Market participants should reach “clear decision” on use of technology, watchdog says
RBI highlights bad debts as it holds rates
Surprise hold as committee sees “very sticky” core prices and global effects; central bank may create a ‘bad bank’ to tackle NPA problem
BIS paper tracks US and eurozone QE spillovers
Shadow rates approach helps authors show US QE spilled across borders more strongly, though impact differed between countries
Bank of Russia sets up two new regulatory departments
Responsibilities include administration regimes, managers’ qualifications and external audit
Consumption shows asymmetric response to shocks – BoE paper
Households appear to respond more strongly to temporary negative shocks than positive ones, and effects are different for borrowers and savers
ZLB magnifies impacts of uncertainty shocks, paper says
Differences caused by zero lower bound are “economically important”, researchers say
Fed paper flags risk of low rates misallocating capital
Where firms rely heavily on intangible capital, lower rates could harm firms’ investment and contribute to secular stagnation, economists warn
Future of Greek austerity divides IMF board
Some directors dissent from call to reduce mid-term primary surplus target
Graeme Wheeler to stand down this year
RBNZ governor will not seek a second term; deputy to take interim role as succession process complicated by elections
Banque de France paper models ‘pandemic’ impact of shocks
Researchers build on other recent models of financial markets
Some credit unions don’t vet senior staff – Irish central bank
“Fitness and probity” requirements are not being followed by all unions, the report says
Mongolia sees hope of recovery after rough year
The commodity reliant country faced slowing growth and inflation in 2016, but the outlook for this year is somewhat brighter