Recession
Greenspan lays odds of 2-1 against US recession
Following comments earlier in the year that gave financial markets a wobble, former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan said Friday 11 May the odds are two to one that the US will avoid a recession this year.
Is Bernanke wrong on inflation?
According to this article from Bloomberg on Monday 30 April, a housing slump in the US may drive the US economy into recession, prompting the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates.
OECD's Cotis says US recession unlikely
OECD chief economist Jean-Philippe Cotis said Tuesday 13 March he does not expect a recession in the US.
No recession coming says St Louis Fed chief
St. Louis Fed president William Poole on Friday 2 March rejected fears that the U.S. economy was heading into a recession, saying that while there "could be a recession," one isn't likely, echoing comments this week by former Fed chairman Alan Greenspan.
Bond curve inversion no longer signals recession
According to this article from Reuters, published Thursday 16 November, the inverted yield curve is no longer seen as an accurate predictor of slowing growth or recession ahead.
Germany, France confirm euro zone rebound
Data released on Thursday 13 November showed that both Germany and France grew in the third quarter of this year, according to Reuters, with Germany pulling out of its second recession in two years, expanding 0.2 percent and France seeing growth of 0.4…
Germany in recession as Eurozone stagnates
The German economy fell into a technical recession after data showed a second successive quarter of negative growth in the three months to the end of June, Reuters reports.
Italian economy dips into recession
The Italian statistics agency Istat said gross domestic product in the euro zone's third-largest economy shrank for the second quarter in a row, putting Italy into a recession, according to Reuters.
US signals formal end to recession
The business-cycle dating committee of the National Bureau of Economic Research on Thursday declared that the US recession ended in November 2001. The committee said GDP suggested the economy began recovering in late 2001 and has since risen above its…
German economy stagnant, says Bundesbank
Germany appeared to move a step closer to a new recession Monday when the Bundesbank estimated that the euro zone's biggest economy contracted slightly in the fourth quarter of last year.
EconSouth from the Atlanta Fed Fourth Quarter 2002
PUBLICATION - The Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta has published its regular online magazine, EconSouth, for the Fourth Quarter 2002. The main feature of the latest edition is 'Fiscal Policy: What a Difference A Recession Makes'.
No global recession likely - Fed's McDonough
US - New York Federal Reserve President William McDonough said on Thursday the chances of a world recession were extremely low, despite an expected slowdown in growth on the back of higher oil prices.
Speech by Robert Parry, San Francisco Fed, 12 Sep
SPEECH - In the speech titled 'The Economic Outlook for the Nation and the Region: A Monetary Policymakers View' Parry said "my basic view is that we're now in the midst of a modest expansion". While the recession hasn't been officially declared over yet…
Exports provide a boost to Japanese economy
JAPAN - The Japanese government on Wednesday confirmed that the country emerged from a year of economic recession in the April-June period by making a slight upward revision to second-quarter gross domestic product figures.
Philadelphia Fed survey shows factory growth slows
US - U.S. factory growth appears to have stalled, stirring speculation the Federal Reserve may cut interest rates in coming months to ward off a second recession if the weakness spreads.
Double-dip recession unlikely - Fed's Poole
US - St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President William Poole said on Sunday the odds the U.S. economy might fall back into recession given the stock market's recent woes were "very, very small."
Fed's Olson - US in recovery but it will be slow
US - The United States is clearly in a recovery but the rebound from last year's brief recession is likely to be slow, Federal Reserve governor Mark Olson said on Friday.
IMF-experts: Argentina crisis bottoming out
ARGENTINA - The four monetary experts chosen by the IMF believe Argentina may have touched bottom after four years of recession and see potential for an export-led recovery, an official briefed on the talks said on Thursday.
MAS says recession is officially "over"
SINGAPORE - Singapore's worst and longest recession is over. The shrinkage actually ended abruptly on 31 December, the Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) said Thursday.
Forecasters' vision clouds during turning points
US - Research by the Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta on economic forecasts by The Wall Street Journal in the last 16 years showed that accuracy was low at crucial points of the economy, with forecasters missing out on the aggressive rate cuts of the…
Figures show Argentina's economy shrinking
ARGENTINA - Argentina's economy shrank 16% during the first three months of this year the government has revealed, plunging the country ever deeper into a recession that has now lasted for three-and-a-half years.
Parry said Fed can be "deliberative" over rates
USA - San Francisco Federal Reserve President Robert Parry said that doubt over how long the current "modest expansion" would last leaves the Federal Reserve room to be "deliberative" over hiking interest rates.
Japan's recession is coming to an end says Hayami
JAPAN - Bank of Japan governor Masaru Hayami said on Friday that the recession which started 20 months ago is coming to an end, adding that he was watching the impact of strong exports and output on the country's non-manufacturers and households.
Increased hope that Turkey soon out of recession
TURKEY - A much sharper than expected rise in industrial output in Turkey has raised hopes that the country could soon recover from a deep recession. Industrial output rose 14.1% in April from a year earlier, well above a growth rate of 7.8% as predicted…