Growth
RBI’s Mundra: pinning down credit-GDP link is tricky
Deputy governor says a host of factors combine to make the link between credit and growth unclear, but the link may reinstate itself as the economy stabilises
Don’t underestimate East Africa’s potential, says Sarb deputy
Eastern region of the continent benefitting from slower inflation and improved regulatory regime, Mminele says; “strict” fiscal discipline must be applied throughout the region
Fiscal policies the answer to commodity decline in Africa – BIS paper
Counter-cyclical policies have done all that they can, paper says, adding it is now time for exchange rate and fiscal policies to bear the burden and spur growth
Factors behind weak growth in advanced economies do not apply to South Africa – Sarb deputy
Mminele says 2008 recession did not create savings glut in South Africa, suggesting other factors such as a shortage of skills are responsible
Sarb governor fends off political criticism
Central bank would co-operate should inquiry into supervision powers be launched; monetary policy committee leaves rate on hold with the prospect of an end to the hiking cycle nearing
RBA’s Kent considers life after the mining boom
Australian economy is well into an adjustment, following the country’s mining investment boom; RBA correctly identified the patterns of adjustment, but was surprised by the magnitude
Co-ordinated effort needed to raise growth – Lagarde
IMF chief says all policy levers must be used to halt low growth; G20 also promised reforms to provide “growth impulse”
Time for private sector to take up economic reform baton – Jamaica’s Wynter
Fiscal and monetary authorities have played their part, and economic growth cannot be driven by the government, says Wynter
Book notes: The power of a single number, by Philipp Lepenies
Lepenies offers a brief but very readable treatment of GDP's political history, drawing out some important lessons in the process
Fiscal stimulus works even in debt-driven recessions – Cleveland Fed paper
Study uses defence spending to estimate fiscal multiplier, finding it is higher in areas with larger debt burdens, contrary to the fears of some economists
Reserve Bank of Australia governor backs 2–3% target in final address
Reserve Bank of Australia governor supports inflation-targeting regime in last public address; moving the target could open the door to further changes down the line, warns Stevens
BoE launches broad Brexit response
Central bank wields all its main tools and some new ones as the effects of Brexit begin to appear; aims to support transmission mechanism amid extraordinary measures
IMF urges Abenomics ‘reload’ as BoJ struggles
Fund tells Japanese authorities to be clearer and more systematic in setting policy, as government unveils new stimulus; working paper suggests alternative to helicopter money
Bank of Namibia cuts growth forecast, but expects rebound
Namibia to grow 4.4% in 2016, central bank projects; improvements expected in 2017, alongside recovery in diamond mining sector
IMF paper examines impact of debt restructurings on growth
Growth usually declines after debt restructurings, but it can boost performance if the country exits a default spell, the authors find
Growth risks push Mauritius MPC to cut by 40bp
Central bank cuts interest rates to 4%, amid risks arising from Brexit and potential volatility from US elections; reducing rate will support investment and encourage growth, says bank
BoE agents see firms aiming for ‘business as usual’ in wake of Brexit
Agents’ post-Brexit review shows housing market resilience while there are reports of some firms look to relocate back to the UK in wake of sterling depreciation; IMF updates forecasts
Slowdown in Brics increasingly down to domestic factors – Mminele
Sarb deputy says structural reform needed to foster global growth; sees role of domestic factors affecting Brics growth increasing since 2013
Technical issue affects Fed minutes release
Error in Federal Reserve equipment results in early release in some cases and late in others; minutes show Fed officials grappling with uncertainty amid slowing job growth and UK referendum fallout
Sweden’s FI gauges impact of debt-to-income limit
Financial regulator tries to attach values to the growth and stability impact of DTI limits, one potential tool for tackling rising household indebtedness
BoE seen shifting into easing mode
Many economists view Bank of England as likely to shift towards an easing bias, but the central bank may find itself with limited room for manoeuvre
IMF paper points to short-term benefits of product market reforms
Authors find product market reforms can deliver benefits in short term as well as long, though effects may be curtailed where credit is constrained
China's growth: a complex trading picture
China’s minister of commerce Gao Hucheng reveals four central opportunities that will arise in the course of the Chinese market’s development
Tackling China’s structural challenges
Minister of finance Lou Jiwei reflects on how China is tackling four long-term roadblocks that threaten stable economic growth