Financial crisis
Next financial crisis “will be brewing” in shadow banking – Bullard
Silicon Valley disruption represents threat to financial stability; Fed has limited powers to counter it despite FSOC and tough new bank rules, says Eighth District president
Capital markets union a la Willie Sutton
When Sutton was asked why he robbed banks, he said: “That’s where the money is.” Europe has yet to address where the capital markets union funding should come from, but there is a solution
James Bullard on 2% rates, tariffs and Fed leadership
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis speaks about the impact of US trade policies, the disruption to the banking industry from Silicon Valley, shrinking the Fed balance sheet and the potential for agent-based modelling
Spanish banks strongly influenced by knowledge of firms, paper finds
Banks’ understanding of clients helped smooth credit contraction during financial crisis – researchers
Turkish lira reaches fresh low as crisis impacts emerging markets
Central bank announces lower reserve requirements in bid to increase liquidity
The perilous road to normality
Many central banks are starting to tighten policy, but their room for error is limited and their final destination unclear. What more can they do?
Eurozone mortgage lending back to pre-crisis levels – ECB
New loans reached 4.5% of GDP in the year to March 2018; average since 2001 is 4.4%
Strong US economy reduces risks from normalisation – Barkin
Richmond Fed president points out consumers are increasingly concerned about tariffs
FPC better equipped for crisis than FSOC – BoE paper
Paper compares how macro-prudential regulators in UK and US would handle a 2008-style crisis
Fed’s QE contributed to increased risk-taking by lenders – research
Mortgage real estate investment trusts increased leverage following Fed’s asset purchases
Central bank cyber security: a weak link in the financial system?
Disgruntled hackers are targeting central banks, whose cyber defences may not be up to the test
Equities pushing US wealth inequality - Minneapolis Fed paper
Wealth inequality boosted by record-high stocks and slower growth in house prices, paper finds
Turning data challenges into opportunities
With central banks becoming increasingly reliant on data, BearingPoint elaborates on the increasing role of innovative regulatory and supervisory technology in supervision.
Banque de France paper analyses sovereign debt crisis
High NPL and sovereign debt holdings affected banks’ interbank funding access, paper finds
Suptech: More than just a new name for solving an old problem
The global financial crisis sparked a far-ranging overhaul of the international architecture for financial regulation, coupled with a deep reflection around the fitness-for-purpose and effectiveness of supervisory efforts, writes Anne Leslie-Bini.
Regling defends ESM’s role in safeguarding eurozone integrity during crisis
ESM chief says completing banking union would reduce risk of future financial turmoil
Central Bank of Ireland criticises banks for gender imbalance
Approach to diversity is inconsistent and not evident in a number of cases, review finds
Risker Italian banks boosted funding from CCPs during crisis – paper
These banks may have been dropped by bilateral funding partners, researchers say
BIS paper compares current Asian vulnerabilities with 1997 crisis
Global banking statistics could have given warning signals ahead of Asian crisis, authors say
IMF urges European authorities to complete banking union
Fund backs ECB’s accommodative stance; rates should remain low after QE ends in December
NPLs hindered financing for eurozone banks - Boston Fed paper
But Draghi’s August 2012 speech eased problems caused by sovereign debt holdings - researchers
Podcast: David Vines on how to reform the DSGE model
Oxford University’s David Vines believes the New Keynesian DSGE model is salvageable – but needs some serious work
Cyprus bail-ins were justified, ECJ rules
Court rejects claims of unfair treatment from bondholders, shareholders and large depositors
Weak US productivity behind low wage growth – IMF
Declining labour share of income is another contributing factor