Stress tests
Macro-prudential policy must move beyond core banking – BoE’s Brazier
Stressed firms may outwardly be resilient but collectively be “overwhelmed”, says BoE director, calling for collective work to understand “feedback loops”
Fed unveils stress scenarios under revised testing approach
Tests now include model enhancements, new phase-in methods and lighter requirements for some banks; the severe scenario has been turned up a notch
BIS authors design game of asset managers
Authors model effects of cash hoarding and investor runs, finding that “hoarding is the rule, rather than the exception”, with implications for stress testing
Non-banks may amplify risks from policy divergence, Nakaso warns
Non-banks may be less constrained than banks in supplying dollar funding, but it could dry up at the first sign of trouble; the BoJ starts stress testing foreign currency liquidity
Eight banks struggle in Czech stress tests
Adverse scenario pushes many banks below regulatory capital minimums, though the system as a whole remains resilient, central bank says
IMF paper offers more granular stress testing framework
IMF applies new stress testing framework to Ecuador’s banking sector; framework offers more efficient surveillance, authors argue
Denmark’s economy set for a boom, says Rohde
Latest release of reports show Danish economy is resilient and set to grow in the next two years; governor Rohde still concerned about house prices
RBS falls short in latest Bank of England stress tests
Three banks show signs of “capital inadequacies” in the latest round of tests, with RBS forced to review its capital plan; Carney says global and domestic risk remains “elevated”, prompting the FPC to leave its buffer unchanged
Fed’s Tarullo: stress testing needs to evolve
Fed is planning to toughen its stress-testing framework with better alignment with regulation and incorporation of dynamic “amplification” effects – though more research is needed
Stress tests should consider wider range of resilience metrics – BoE article
Metrics including liquidity and funding resilience should be considered as stress tests become an important part of a central bank’s regulatory toolkit; current liquidity and funding stress scenarios are “less advanced”
Liquidity stress testing ‘essential’ – ECB supervisor
Supervisor warns conference that banks will need to shape up their internal liquidity adequacy assessment process responses for 2017
Italian banks feel more pressure from EBA stress-test results
Publication of the 2016 stress tests on European banks focuses attention on Italian banks in particular, but private sector recapitalisation plan takes some pressure off MPS
Banks coping with tougher environment – Omani stress tests
Central bank’s latest financial stability report says banks are well placed to weather shocks, as it builds regulatory capabilities and early warning indicators
EBA reveals guidelines for first stress tests on deposit guarantee schemes
European deposit guarantee schemes must carry out stress tests including checks on member banks’ customer data, response to stressed conditions and cross-border co-operation
Carney stresses bank resilience in face of large shocks
UK banks display resilience when threatened with Brexit-like shock, stress tests show; London "unlikely" to retain global financial centre status if Britain leaves EU, Carney says
Medium-sized banks are main contributors to systemic risk in Brazilian interbank market, paper says
Emergence of bank communities may act as triggers for systemic risk, stress test scenario shows; medium-sized banks carry non-negligible default probabilities
Coen looks to wider issues affecting bank resilience
Secretary general of Basel Committee highlights importance of corporate governance and culture, IT systems and stress tests for resilience and profitability
BoE toughens 2016 stress tests
GDP growth to hit a trough at -1.9%, unemployment to rise 4.5 percentage points and the level of GDP to fall by 4.3% in latest BoE stress tests; higher capital hurdles also mandated
Some analysts see stress tests losing effectiveness – Stournaras
Greek central bank governor raises questions over perception of stress tests; regulators’ models need to take more account of national differences, he argues
Tests find New Zealand banks ‘robust’ to dairy stress
Stress tests conducted by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand in late 2015 find five largest lenders to dairy sector can withstand further drops in payout and land values
BoE’s Brazier values flexibility with bank buffers
Alex Brazier says Bank of England will have a bias towards ‘acting early and gradually’ on capital buffers; will not look for “irrefutable proof” of bad events
Mexico’s stress tests reveal some institutions remain ‘vulnerable’ in extreme scenarios
Stress tests indicate that even in adverse scenarios banking sector remains sound; some banks and investment funds are vulnerable to extreme scenarios, including interest rate adjustments
EBA unveils 2016 stress test methodology
European Banking Authority presents the methodology for 2016 stress tests; no single capital adequacy level, but results will inform regulators’ assessments under SREP
Bulgaria launches asset quality review and stress tests
Bulgaria’s central bank will conduct an asset quality review of commercial banks, followed by stress tests; the move is in response to the 2014 failure of the country’s fourth-largest bank