Interest rates
Bank of Mexico board unsure about new government’s fiscal policies
Board members said uncertain policies of incoming government may alter domestic demand
Fed may have to speed up rate rises, Australian governor warns
Philip Lowe says fiscal stimulus could lead to US inflation growing faster than expected
Brian Wynter on Jamaica’s inflation-targeting transition
Jamaican governor says the end of fiscal dominance plus the creation of a two-way forex market and an effective interest rate policy mechanism essential for “full-fledged” inflation target
Atlanta Fed estimates US GDP growth remains above 4%
Economy expanded by 4.1% in Q2, in strongest performance since mid-2014
Argentinian central bank raises large banks’ reserve requirements
Central bank in talks with China over credit swap sells over $1 billion this week to defend falling peso
Norges Bank holds rates as inflation stays below target
Norwegian governor said in March he expected next rate hike to come “after summer”
Policies must change to stop emerging markets crisis, analysts say
Tariffs, Fed policy and renminbi devaluation are stressing weaker currencies, say observers
HKMA spends over $2 billion to defend local currency
Hong Kong dollar fell to hit lower limit of its 7.75-7.85 peg to US dollar
Capital markets union a la Willie Sutton
When Sutton was asked why he robbed banks, he said: “That’s where the money is.” Europe has yet to address where the capital markets union funding should come from, but there is a solution
Indonesian central bank hikes rates as global volatility hits rupiah
Forex interventions cut reserves by 11% between January and July 2018
Tariffs unlikely to have lasting impact on US economy – Bullard
Disruption of global supply chain could be biggest risk of trade dispute to date, says St Louis Fed president
James Bullard on 2% rates, tariffs and Fed leadership
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of St Louis speaks about the impact of US trade policies, the disruption to the banking industry from Silicon Valley, shrinking the Fed balance sheet and the potential for agent-based modelling
Uganda keeps rates on hold despite rising core inflation
Policy necessary to ensure “sustainable growth”, governor says
Rupee falls to record low as instability hits emerging markets
Indian currency falls to 70 against the US dollar for the first time
US expansion set to continue in H2 2018 – Dallas Fed
US enjoys strong consumer spending, a healthy labour market and inflation on target
The perilous road to normality
Many central banks are starting to tighten policy, but their room for error is limited and their final destination unclear. What more can they do?
Trump and Erdoğan: cut from the same populist cloth
Barry Eichengreen compares the respective strongmen of the US and Turkey, as the latter country spirals towards crisis
US stimulus could accelerate policy normalisation – IMF research
Higher growth could increase imbalances and fuel calls for more protectionism
RBA trims inflation projections on low wage growth
Weaker outlook leads RBA to cut CPI forecasts to 1.75% in December 2018 from 2.25%
Trade uncertainty keeps Bank of Mexico on hold
Central bank leaves interest rates at 7.75%; revises up inflation expectations
Philippines central bank makes biggest hike of 2018
Central bank raises interest rates by 50bp on the back of mounting inflation pressures
Strong US economy reduces risks from normalisation – Barkin
Richmond Fed president points out consumers are increasingly concerned about tariffs
No rate hike likely until 2020, says RBNZ’s Orr
Central bank leaves interest rates on hold as concerns around growth and inflation emerge
Argentina creates new monetary policy committee
Central bank leaves rates unchanged on high inflation pressures