Inflation
BoE should hold rates until pressures have eased, Haskel says
Changes to labour market estimates helped shift policy decisions, MPC member says
Inflation rebounds in OECD countries
Rising energy costs drive uptick in many economies, but G7 avoids increase
New NBER research sheds light on ‘cheapflation’
Savings from price discounts partially offset by price hikes for cheaper products
Turkish inflation falls for first time in eight months
Cooling prices could herald disinflation trend despite negative real rates
Malaysia’s Rasheed expects a “bumpy road” for EM currencies
Governor Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour says BNM will intervene if needed ahead of future Fed cut; rules out capital controls but has encouraged institutions to repatriate earnings
BNM’s Rasheed on inflation, growth and currency performance in emerging markets
Bank Negara Malaysia’s governor speaks about balancing inflation and growth, supporting the ringgit, multilateral currency settlement and greening Islamic finance
‘Selective memory’ helps explain expectation de-anchoring – paper
Authors build model around three “regularities of human recall”
Fed needs more evidence to cut rates – Powell
Lagarde tells same Sintra panel that services inflation is making disinflation “bumpy”
Eurozone ‘soft landing’ still not guaranteed, warns Lagarde
ECB president says costs of disinflation are contained better than in the past
Half of central banks use forecast errors to assess policy impact
Surveys of expectations widely used but surveys of trust and understanding are less common
Masaaki Shirakawa on his ‘unease’ about 2% inflation targets and lessons from Japan
The former Bank of Japan governor speaks with Christopher Jeffery about the need to properly understand the business of banking, making sound contingency plans and the BoJ’s current policy constraints
US inflation’s last mile ‘could take several years’ – Cleveland Fed
Favourable shocks are necessary to reach 2% quickly, researcher argues
Turkey holds interest rate amid rising inflation
Disinflation will start in the second half of the year, CBRT says
Transitioning to renewables could reduce shock impact – research
Authors say Brazilian economy may serve as a model in the clean energy transition
BIS predicts AI will be inflationary in long term
Expects accelerated inflation dynamics as firms adjust prices in response to shocks
Over 25% of central banks pre-brief government on policy decisions
Briefing patterns differ across institutions, as two central banks start practice
Thai governor clashes with government over inflation target
Sethaput warns of inflation risks amid ongoing dispute with prime minister
UK inflation touches BoE’s target
Alignment with goal expected to be short lived but opens door to rate cuts later in year
US politicians urge Fed to lower interest rates
Democratic senators and congress members say CPI likely to be “grossly overstating” inflation
How the Czech National Bank brought inflation down from 18% to 2% in two years
Governor Aleš Michl on the road to 2% inflation and future profitability
Central bankers warn of US election risks
Danger of tariffs and supply chain disruptions, Central Banking Summer Meetings hear
BoJ hawkishness due to weak yen belies wage inflation concerns
The contrast in Japan-US economic, price and wage performance and their implications for monetary policies
Large central banks usually failed to quash inflation – Fed research
Soft landings are possible with early and parsimonious action, authors find
RBI holds rates as food inflation lingers
Normal monsoon could bring prices down, Indian central bank says