Inflation
Upgraded Moody’s outlook puts Sarb rate cut bank on the menu
Lower inflation and an appreciating rand mean the South African Reserve Bank could cut rates at its meeting next week, but analysts think it might be too soon
Bank of Ghana slashes rates as inflation moves towards target
Central bank continues an easing cycle that began in 2016, citing a “significant moderation in price pressures”
Technological change has contributed to low wage increases – Riksbank’s Skingsley
Monetary policy can respond by balancing high resource utilisation with price stability
Fed policy should become more neutral – Bostic
As the economy operates close to potential and inflation approaches target, rates can be raised, the Atlanta Fed president says
Incoming RBNZ governor signs deal on new mandate
Agreement establishes dual mandate in the birthplace of inflation targeting; government reveals more details on changes to decision-making structure
Yield curve can help improve forecasts – RBNZ economists
Yield curve information tends to improve forecasts of economic activity, researchers find
BoE on track for May rate hike
MPC votes 7-2 in favour of maintaining rates at 0.5% but leaves the door open for two potential rate hikes in 2018
Brazil nears end of easing cycle as rates hit fresh low
Committee signals there will likely be a pause in rate cuts soon, as inflation evolves “more benignly than expected”
Who is Yi Gang?
Hui Feng says Beijing’s choice for PBoC chief fits into a wider liberal cadre across senior financial positions – but Yi faces plenty of challenges in delivering reform
Powell strikes cautiously upbeat note in first policy press conference
Federal Open Market Committee shifts economic forecasts up marginally
Tajikistan cuts policy rate as inflation stabilises
Central bank says inflation is more stable and falling, creating room for cuts
SNB struggles to end ultra-loose policy regime
The Swiss central bank’s hopes of normalising policy are being held back by weak expectations, a strong currency and policy actions abroad
Norges Bank board strikes more bullish tone on outlook
Stronger signs from the economy prompt the central bank to bring forward plans for first hike; new inflation target will have limited effect on policy, central bank says
RBI paper finds complexity in exchange rate pass-through
Authors argue the standard view of exchange rates having a “linear and symmetric” impact on prices is flawed
Financial frictions key to DSGE performance – NY Fed paper
Post-crisis period was a harsh testing ground for structural models, but the New York Fed’s DSGE model was at least equal to private forecasts, researchers say
Algerian monetary financing may stoke inflation, warns IMF
In September 2017, Algiers resorted to central bank financing of budget deficits
BoJ policymakers eye hopeful signs for inflation
Policy remains on hold as inflation shows some signs of greater strength; one member calls for further easing measures
Protectionism may have ‘serious consequences’ – Canada’s Lane
US tax reforms may affect Canada’s capacity to attract investment, warns deputy governor
ECB removes promise to increase bond purchases if needed
Stronger economic growth confirms previous confidence of rate-setters, Draghi says; ECB president criticises threatened tariffs
Poland delays first hike by one year
Central bank reduces its inflation forecasts for 2018 and 2019, and the zloty falls
IMF recommends Colombia improve policy communication
Fund considers the central bank has further room to lower interest rates
Bank of Canada on hold as council remains cautious
Officials see the need for further rate hikes in future, but say trade policy in the US is creating uncertainty for Canada
Malaysia central bank dismisses concerns over government cash handout
BNM says cash handout idea was “first mooted” by its board, dismissing the suggestion it was designed to “tempt” the Malaysian people
Tunisia raises rates by 75bp to tackle inflation
First hike under new governor comes as prices rose year-on-year by 7.1% in February