Economics
US tariffs will create persistent inflationary pressures – study
Dallas Fed paper say trade costs raise price levels sustainably above US central bank’s target
Central banks struggling to adopt latest data standards – BIS survey
Most institutions use SDMX, but resource constraints are limiting the benefits
Gen AI will have varying impact on graduates – Fed study
Automation will lead to job cuts but augmentation of roles could create employment, research claims
US tariffs could have larger-than-expected impact – study
Author suggests trade statistics are being misreported
US house price-to-rent ratio likely to fall – Dallas Fed study
Expected decline could also signal future course of inflation, research argues
High temperatures slow down economic growth – Banxico paper
Authors say Mexico is warming faster than other countries
Targeted financing would not solve housing crisis – research
National Bank of Denmark argues against allowing premature pension withdrawals for housing
Losing key Chinese inputs could hurt eurozone – ECB paper
Halving of critical imports would cause drop of up to 3% in output for manufacturers, research shows
Large geopolitical shocks have outsized economic impact – paper
Researchers find non-linearities, which amplify effects on economy
People willing to pay more to curb business cycle – study
Survey data challenges assertion that consumers would only make minimal sacrifices
Reserve Bank of India launches economic data app
RBI says users will be able to access bank’s data portal and locate banking facilities in their local area
Fed governors differ on best way to deal with Trump uncertainty
Waller says monetary policy can’t be “put on hold”, but Bowman calls for wait-and-see approach
‘Dark’ oil shipping impacts inflation – paper
Research finds nearly 43% of seaborne crude is shipped undercover to evade sanctions
US inflation higher or more cyclical at start of year – study
Dallas Fed research says slowing inflation is more encouraging if it takes place in January
UK economy vulnerable to Trump tariffs – BoE’s Greene
MPC member says US has outsized financial impact as biggest single-country trading partner
Branching paths: the Czech National Bank’s many modelling options
Three external reviews each recommended a different combination of models. The CNB now faces tough design choices, and must also decide how to upgrade its economic research
Immigration reduces inflation in US – IMF paper
But immigrants put upward pressure on house prices, study finds
AI can solve more complex economic models – BIS paper
Neural networks help economists solve and estimate non-linear heterogeneous agent models