Research

Japanese productivity boosted by IT

Since the turn of the millennium, technological progress appears to have raised levels of Japanese productivity, new research published by the country's central bank finds.

The Fed should have followed the shadows: Poole

The US economy would have performed better during the Great Inflation era if the Federal Reserve had implemented the policy of the Shadow Open Market Committee, new research co-authored by William Poole, a former president of the St Louis Fed, finds.

Smaller MPCs rely more on staff views

The use of staff-policy recommendations by central banks' monetary policy committees is negatively related to the size of the rate-setting board, research published by the National Bank of Hungary finds.

Divorcing money from monetary policy

By paying interest on reserve balances at the central bank's target interest rate, a central bank can increase the supply of reserves without driving market interest rates below its target, says a new paper from the New York Federal Reserve.

Errors in inflation forecasts

A new paper from the Central Bank of Chile assesses inflation forecasts from the Survey of Professional Forecasters for forecast errors for the period 2000 to 2008.

Crime and the city

Arrests follow crime, but an increase in arrests does not necessarily lead to a decrease in crime, finds a new paper from the Federal Reserve of St Louis.

Turkey: past FX intervention worked

Direct foreign-exchange market interventions carried by the Central Bank of Turkey between 2002 and 2005 led to a fall in predicted volatility in the foreign-exchange market, a new paper from the central bank finds.

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