Government spend no more effective at ZLB – NBER paper

Results imply zero lower bound does not make stimulus more powerful

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US Capitol

The power of US government spending to stimulate the economy remains roughly constant, even as slack in the economy varies and when monetary policy hits a zero lower bound (ZLB), research published by the National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) has found.

Authors Valerie Ramey and Sarah Zubairy construct a new quarterly dataset running from 1889 to 2013 in their paper, Government Spending Multipliers in Good Times and Bad. Using a "local projection method", they find "no evidence" that the

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