Monetary Policy
Bundesbank paper uses neural networks for rate forecasting
Artificial neural networks outperform linear and non-linear functions, author says
Book notes: The menace of fiscal QE, by George Selgin
Much of this book is even more relevant, thought-provoking and important following Covid-19
Weak banks undermined first round of QE – BoE paper
Undercapitalised banks took defensive measures rather than boosting lending, research finds
South African governor warns against QE
South Africa is not near deflation and QE would harm stability, governor warns
Bank of Mexico cites ‘major challenges’ as it cuts rate
Policy-makers focused on maintaining “room for manoeuvre” as inflation risks evolve
Book notes: Radical uncertainty, by Mervyn King and John Kay
The one certainty we have faced is that we have to confront uncertainty, which is precisely the point of this wonderful book
New Fed discount window could ease bankruptcy crisis – researchers
Many companies may not endure a further liquidity shock
RBNZ boosts asset purchases and prepares new policies
Negative rates and funding for lending programme under “active preparation”
Turkish central bank issues brief statement as lira hits record low
Lira hits lowest-ever level against dollar and euro as central bank’s response remains unclear
Romania cuts rates as rising Covid-19 cases hurt economy
Central bank says resurgent pandemic risks recovery and calls for more clarity on fiscal policy
Brazil’s central bank cuts rates to record low
MPC says there is limited space for more monetary policy stimulus as crisis continues
Fed paper looks at effects of negative rates on banks
Banks with large holdings of liquid assets could be hurt by negative rates, researcher says
BoE says negative rates ‘in toolbox’ and forecasts slow recovery
First “proper” forecast since Covid-19 outbreak gives little hope of a V-shaped recovery
Lane stresses inflation will determine ECB’s PEPP purchases
Lower inflation outlook could mean the programme will remain longer than anticipated
Colombia cuts rates to record low of 2.25%
Central bank has revised down GDP growth to a range between -6% and -10% for 2020
Share buybacks limits monetary policy- BdF paper
Use of low-cost debt for buy-backs cuts spending on employment and capital good- researchers
Fed extends swap lines and warns of slowing US economy
More fiscal and monetary stimulus will be needed as cases surge in US, chair Powell said
Kansas Fed paper looks at conditional forward guidance
Date-based forward guidance would be effective without yield curve control, research says
Fed extends emergency facilities for three months
Move comes as US Covid-19 reported cases surge to record highs ahead of July FOMC decision
Bank of Israel’s bond purchases are working – deputy governor
Andrew Abir says corporate bond purchases have eased conditions for non-financial firms
Fed’s forward guidance has significant bond yield impact – DNB paper
Researchers say data indicates that Fed managed to preserve monetary policy credibility
ECB slows down PEPP purchases
Emergency asset buying fell to lowest level since programme was launched in April
Sarb eases conditions on emergency loan guarantees
South African central bank introduces new loan types to assist uptake of the scheme
Structural changes may increase dollar funding strains – IMF paper
Some emerging markets still face “significant funding pressure”, researchers find