Bundesbank paper uses neural networks for rate forecasting
Artificial neural networks outperform linear and non-linear functions, author says
Artificial neural networks may be the best tool for forecasting nominal interest rates, a working paper published by the Deutsche Bundesbank finds.
In Predicting monetary policy using artificial neural networks, Natascha Hinterlang compares different methods of policy rate forecasting. She uses data from 1987 to 2012, taken from the Federal Reserve’s “green book” of real-time data, to see how well different methods predict nominal interest rates.
She looks at the normal methods of using non
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Economics
Economics Benchmarks 2024 – model banks analysis
Additional data breakdowns reveal patterns based on staffing and development
Demographics could trigger closures of US universities – study
Research by Philly Fed says fewer young people are enrolling, which is adding to financial pressures
Economics Benchmarks 2024 – executive summary
The benchmark drills into model design features as well as staffing, research and AI
Economics Benchmarks 2024 report – making models work
The benchmarks this year include more granular details on key model design features
ADB approves $500 million loan to Indonesia
Policy-based facility focuses on expanding vulnerable groups’ access to financial services
US inflation expectations tick up across all time horizons
NY Fed survey finds more respondents expect prices to rise over one- three- and five-year timeframes
China’s inflation drops to five-month low, despite stimulus
Some analysts expect PBoC to deliver further cuts in rates and RRRs by end of 2025
Fed’s latest Beige Book reports modest growth across US
Boston was only branch to report decreased activity since October