Economics
DSGE models should include housing supply, ECB paper argues
Author says adding financial sector and new houses improves forecasting accuracy
Strong consumer spending ‘does not preclude US recession’
Dallas Fed research argues that declines in residential investment are a better bellwether for a downturn
China’s central bank to set up new credit market department
Unit will be tasked with guiding banks’ lending support for key areas of finance
PBoC and HKMA strengthen financial ties
Hong Kong to accept onshore bonds as collateral for RMB funds, as PBoC looks to open up repo market
Faster deposit flows will affect bank runs, ECB paper says
Bindseil and Senner say several factors are increasing size and speed of deposit runs
PBoC announces biggest cut in banks’ reserve ratios for two years
Governor says 50bp reduction will free up 1 trillion yuan into financial system
Wage growth ‘has not impacted US inflation’, says Boston Fed
Study finds pay still has some way to go before reaching a level that would affect consumer prices
Lower immigration affecting US household spending power
Low immigration has contributed to increased prices of consumer goods, argues Atlanta Fed
Monetary policy affects insurers’ balance sheets, ECB paper finds
Eurozone insurance firms increase asset holdings and risk-taking if policy loosens, researchers say
BoK examines South Korea’s post-Covid jobs recovery
Research points to rebound in services and employees’ desire for greater work-life balance
Fed governor bolsters hopes for rate cuts in 2024
Strong state of US economy means there is no need to rush, argues Christopher Waller
Risks persist in China’s economy despite growth, analysts say
Property sector woes, youth unemployment and falling population all cited as long-term challenges
Bank of Italy paper examines within-firm estimation strategy
Credit interdependence means standard estimates of shocks’ effects are biased , authors find
RBI deputy calls on government to tackle bankruptcy backlog
Courts are struggling to deal with caseload, putting progress on credit quality at risk, official says
Millions of South Korean workers face AI replacement – research
Workers with higher incomes and education are more at risk, Bank of Korea paper says
Monetary policy likely to be weak climate tool – Bank of Spain paper
Model finds central banks are likely to prioritise price stability over reducing carbon emissions
Fed paper presents new way to measure consumer welfare
Consumer preferences change in line with incomes, researcher argues
CBDCs are subject to ‘trilemma’, ECB paper warns
Research builds on Diamond-Dybvig model to examine possibility of runs on central banks
Cash transfers cause persistent jobs boost in Brazil, research finds
San Fran Fed paper argues previous research neglected effects on informal employment
Bundesbank paper looks at core inflation uncertainty
Higher uncertainty over inflation acts like positive demand shock, researchers find
Bundesbank paper looks at role of carbon emissions disclosures
Obliging firms to increase transparency boosts low-carbon investment, researchers find
Researchers warn US vacancies are ‘untethered’ from other data
Minneapolis Fed economists say US could face “more substantial job losses”
ECB paper examines firms’ response to carbon trading
Policy-makers should use subsidies for green innovation alongside carbon credits, researchers argue