Financial crisis
Bank of Spain paper develops model of market volatility
Researchers produce measure of volatility able to cope with ‘vast’ panels of data; find model performs better than others that use shorter time horizons
BIS chief advocates deeper policy cooperation
Jaime Caruana calls on central banks to consider international implications of domestic monetary policy; says segmenting markets does not make sense
IMF paper studies emerging market bond spreads
Working paper tests different explanatory variables for emerging market bond spreads over time; finds importance may change based on business cycle and external factors
Impending drop in economic growth, warns South African research
South African Reserve Bank working paper uses new model to analyse financial conditions; finds conditions have declined and threaten GDP growth
The future of bank capital
Prudential regulators are relying on the Modigliani-Miller theorem to hold true as banks are required to hold substantially more capital. But could their faith in the theorem be misplaced?
Book notes: The Money Trap
Robert Pringle’s new book is driven by a sense of missionary zeal
Book notes: End This Depression Now!
One of the rock stars of economics has written another hit
Carney discusses the “right kind” of globalisation
Governor of the Bank of Canada explains how globalisation can be harnessed to create prosperity for Canadians; says responsibility for past mistakes lay with many parties
ECB hiring may not be enough to cope with workload, says Ipso chief
Union head says European Central Bank’s plan to recruit 40 additional staff to help cope with increased workload is unlikely to be sufficient
Japan holds rates and delays disbursement of fund provision
Bank of Japan maintains benchmark rate at near zero; puts off first issuance of fund provision due to reform plans for Libor
Australia and Sri Lanka leave rates on hold
Reserve Bank of Australia and Central Bank of Sri Lanka highlight worsening economic conditions around the world as they announce benchmark rates will remain unchanged
Troika maintains pressure on Greece
Officials from the European Commission, ECB and IMF will return to Greece in September to check on reform progress; central bank chief reportedly tells government the country is being 'defamed'
Thailand reports improved economic conditions
Senior director of macroeconomic and monetary policy department notes overall better conditions in second quarter of 2012; European debt crisis has caused problems for export market nonetheless
Deutsche Bundesbank paper studies developments in financial connections
Discussion paper analyses changes in connectedness of financial institutions following financial crisis; suggests possible stability benefits created by bank bailouts
IMF paper finds stronger and more complex fiscal rules following crises
Working paper compiles dataset of national and supra-national fiscal rules; suggests rules were strengthened after crises in the 1990s and after the financial crisis
Central Bank of Colombia paper develops early warning model of credit booms
Working paper tests model of credit booms that includes macroeconomic indicators in addition to credit growth; finds the model performs well across a number of Latin American countries
Eurozone crisis at 'critical' stage, says IMF
International Monetary Fund stresses need for completion of monetary union and sets out three vital common elements to create banking union; ECB’s Asmussen echoes thoughts on vital need for union
BIS paper argues financial systems can grow too large
Working paper examines impact of size of financial systems on productivity growth; finds size of financial sector initially boosts productivity but beyond certain threshold has negative effect
IMF paper examines impact of financial crisis on US state finances
Working paper studies effect of balanced budget rules at US state level; finds pro-cyclicality but suggests this could be mitigated without changing the rules
Bundesbank paper studies changes in European monetary transmission
Discussion paper considers effect of financial crisis on transmission of European Central Bank monetary policy; finds decrease in sensitivity of Euribor to changes in central bank rates
Eurosytem and Mediterranean central bankers gather in Morocco
Central bankers meet to discuss economic and financial developments, monetary policy implementation and macro-prudential policies and financial stability
‘Unofficial dollarisation’ raises significant stability risks, ECB study finds
Emerging markets with large holdings of ‘hard’ currency assets and liabilities are exposed to substantial stability risks and policy failure, finds ECB study
IMF paper studies effects of macro-prudential policy
Working paper studies effectiveness of macro-prudential policy in an environment of financial innovation; identifies various factors determining policy outcomes
IMF paper studies reduced financial interconnectedness
Working paper examines impact of deleveraging by financial institutions through declines in collateral use; identifies issue that may cause unintended consequences