Financial crisis
Book notes: The End of Theory, by Richard Bookstaber
Bookstaber provides an entertaining introduction to agent-based modelling – a potential new front for economics
BIS paper asks what makes emerging market banks profitable
Both bank-specific and economy-wide factors affect banks’ profitability, authors find
Veteran economists weigh in on ‘rebuilding’ macro theory
Economists including Olivier Blanchard, Andy Haldane and Simon Wren-Lewis tackle the question of how – and whether – to save the DSGE model
BoE paper outlines big-data-based early warning indicator
Text mining approach seeks to capture how narratives can drive action in financial markets
Balancing reserves’ effectiveness and transparency
Why do countries accumulate more and more reserves if they know intervention may prove ineffective? Iris Yeung speaks to Canada’s Eric Wolfe
ECB corporate bond purchases fall to lowest level in December
CSPP is expected to rebound in January, while the ECB reduces QE to €30 billion a month
Colombian paper says resolution co-operation is needed in the region
Authors examine how resolution plans have evolved and conclude more work can be done with regard to local systemically important financial institutions and cross-border activities
Complex instruments still pose systemic risks – paper
Discretion granted by financial reporting standards increases opacity and complexity, say authors
Book notes: Money in the Great Recession, by Tim Congdon
A stimulating collection of papers on the monetarist theory that had central bankers in late 2008 focused on boosting the quantity of broad money “the Great Recession would not have happened”
BIS issues new ‘streamlined’ stress test principles
Banks have made significant advances in stress testing since financial crisis, Basel Committee says; issues new ‘guidelines’ that focus on stress test evolution
Fed paper sets out model of financial panics
Mark Gertler, Nobuhiro Kiyotaki and Andrea Prestipino examine banking panics in a DSGE model
CNB ramps up financial stability department role
Central bank “elevates” the department in its governance structure to reflect its growing importance; hikes countercyclical buffer amid lending boom
Public spending cuts have bigger multiplier than fiscal stimulus – paper
Research weakens case for expansionary policies, say authors
EBA publishes NPL standards in bid to foster market
Reporting templates ask for granular data in bid to establish EU dataset
Quick action needed to tackle housing busts – RBNZ paper
Paper studies housing busts around the world and how best to respond to them
Policymakers need wider range of systemic risk models – paper
Researchers attempt to combine systemic importance and systemic risk approaches
Fed proposes sharing more information about stress tests
Proposal includes insights about how the regulator estimates hypothetical losses
Loose policy supported equality in Sweden – Skingsley
Deputy governor of Sveriges Riksbank reflects on how monetary policy promotes inclusive growth
Portuguese finance minister named new head of Eurogroup
ESM manager praises Mário Centeno as a “passionate economist”
BoE paper sets out financial stress index
Index aims to capture systemic risk by aggregating market-based indicators of stress
Income convergence in eurozone faltered before euro, research finds
Strong financial cycle concealed lack of productivity growth since 1990s in Spain and Italy, implying euro may not be to blame
UK debt could be a stability risk, says BoE’s Sharp
FPC member goes against advice for central bankers to “stick to their knitting” and discusses how fiscal policy could impact BoE’s financial stability work
Carney proposes public-private co-operation in markets regulation
Supervisors cannot regulate every circumstance and anticipate all market innovations, Bank of England governor says
Goodfriend nominated to Fed board
Central bank veteran to fill one of the four vacant spots on the board of governors