Research

Fiscal convergence before entering the EMU

This European Central Bank Working Paper, published 27 July, addresses the question of whether a reduction of public deficits, such as imposed by the Maastricht fiscal criteria, is a necessary or useful step on the road to the adoption of the euro.

Japan - Effects of the quantitative easing policy

The Bank of Japan Working Paper "Effects of the quantitative easing policy: A survey of empirical analyses" surveys the empirical analyses that examine the effects of the Bank of Japan (BOJ)'s quantitative easing policy (QEP).

IMF paper on global imbalances

The International Monetary Fund Working Paper "How Might a Disorderly Resolution of Global Imbalances Affect Global Wealth?" describes the impact on global wealth of an unanticipated shock to U.S. financial markets.

IMF paper on the 2003-05 oil shock

The IMF Working Paper "Weathering the Storm So Far: The Impact of the 2003-05 Oil Shock on Low-Income Countries" examines the impact of the 2003-05 oil price increase on the balance of payments positions and IMF financing needs of low-income country oil…

ECB paper on the impact of policy decisions

The ECB Working Paper "The impact of ECB monetary policy decisions and communication on the yield curve" analyses high-frequency changes in the euro area money market yield curve on dates when the ECB regularly sets and communicates decisions on policy…

Monetary policy rules in the pre-EMU era

The ECB Working Paper "Monetary policy rules in the pre-EMU era: Is there a common rule?" analyses the period 1993 to 1998 saying there is no clear agreement regarding the monetary policy pursued in the member countries during the convergence process.

St Louis Fed paper on forex intervention

This Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Working Paper "Authorities' beliefs about foreign exchange intervention: Getting back under the hood" presents the results of a survey of monetary authorities with respect to their beliefs about foreign exchange…

IMF paper on policy lessons from Latin America

The IMF Working Paper "Macroeconomic volatility: The policy lessons from Latin America" traces how the history of macroeconomic volatility and financial crisis over the past century has adversely impacted on growth and other development indicators.

BoE paper on efficient payment systems

The Bank of England Working Paper "The welfare benefits of stable and efficient payment systems" examines the importance of smoothly functioning payment systems to the economy by extending a recently developed theoretical model of banks.

Inflation targeting in dollarized economies

According to this Working Paper from the Central Bank of Chile, the shift to an inflation targeting regime has contributed to the relatively low inflation observed in some emerging market economies.

IMF paper on U.S. inflation dynamics

The IMF Working Paper "U.S. inflation dynamics: What drives them over different frequencies?" aims to improve the understanding of U.S. inflation dynamics by separating out structural from cyclical effects using frequency domain techniques.

ECB paper on financial stability challenges

The ECB Occasional Paper 'Macroeconomic and financial stability challenges for acceding and candidate countries' reviews macroeconomic and financial stability challenges for acceding (Bulgaria and Romania) and candidate countries (Croatia and Turkey).

ECB paper on Japanese forex intervention

Based on a GARCH framework and change point detection, the ECB Working Paper "A structural break in the effects of Japanese foreign exchange intervention on yen/dollar exchange rate volatility" tests for a structural break in the effectiveness of…

ECB paper on monetary policy

The ECB Working Paper "Adaptive learning, persistence, & optimal monetary policy" shows that, when private sector expectations are determined in line with adaptive learning, optimal policy responds persistently to cost-push shocks.

Transparency, expectations, and forecasts

In 1994 the FOMC began to release statements after each meeting. This ECB Working Paper investigates whether the public's views about the current path of the economy and of future policy have been affected by changes in the Federal Reserve's…

Consultation paper on Payments System Risk Policy

The Federal Reserve has published a consultation paper to seek information from financial institutions and other interested parties on their experience in managing intraday liquidity, credit, and operational risks relating to Fedwire funds transfers and…

IMF paper on the euro's challenge to the dollar

The IMF Working Paper "The euro's challenge to the dollar: Different views from economists and evidence from COFER (Currency composition of Foreign Exchange Reserves) and other data" examines opposing views on the euro's challenge to the dollar as an…

RBA paper on optimal monetary policy

The RBA Discussion Paper "Optimal monetary policy with real-time signal extraction from the bond market" sets up a model where the central bank uses real-time data from the bond market together with standard macroeconomic indicators to estimate the…

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