Federal Reserve System

Ben Bernanke on the threat of deflation

SPEECH - In the speech 'Deflation: Making Sure "It" Doesn't Happen Here' Ben Bernanke of the Federal Reserve said sustained deflation can be a highly destructive force and should be strongly resisted. He emphasised that prevention of deflation is…

Olson on banking in 2002 after a decade of change

SPEECH - In the speech 'The Banking Industry in 2002 after a Decade of Change' Mark Olson of the Federal Reserve said the past decade has been a time of dynamic change in the financial services industry and there are no signs that the pace of change will…

'Goose the US economy' says McTeer

The latest Federal Reserve official to publicly voice his support for the FOMC's recent interest rate reduction is Bob McTeer, president of the Dallas Fed. McTeer showed himself to be in favour of a rate cut back in September, voting against the FOMC…

Fed's Kohn on US trade gap

Federal Reserve Governor Donald Kohn said on Friday it was "hard to imagine" the imbalance in the U.S. current account could continue indefinitely and that a rough correction of the situation was a distinct risk.

Moskow on the economic outlook

SPEECH - In the speech 'Moskow on the economic outlook' Michael Moskow of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago said following the Federal Reserves recent half point interest rate cut that, the low-inflation environment has allowed us to maintain an…

Chicago Fed National Activity Index October 2002

REPORT - CFNAI Shows Economic Growth Slowed Further in October - In October, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) remained below zero for a third month, coming in at -0.81 The three-month moving average index, CFNAI-MA3, moved down to -0.55.

Fed governor Bernanke repeats confidence on prices

Much recent press comment has focussed on whether the US economy could be set for a period of deflation. In a speech made Thursday Ben Bernanke said he was confident that the Federal Reserve still had the fire power left, even if interest rates fell…

William Poole - From Professor to Policymaker

SPEECH - In the speech 'From Professor to Policymaker: Emerging from the Shadow' William Poole of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis said his years of teaching and writing as a university professor have helped him to develop effective communication…

US Economists' group criticises Fed rate cut

The Federal Reserves recent aggressive rate cut of half a point surprised most. It did nothing to improve sentiment in the markets with the dollar falling on the news as the US economy appeared to be in worse shape than was thought. Now the Shadow Open…

Greenspan on Int'l Financial Risk Management

SPEECH - In the speech 'International Financial Risk Management' Alan Greenspan of the Federal Reserve said episodes such as September 11 indicate that the ability of economies to absorb unexpected shocks has increased over the past two decades. He also…

Chicago Fed Letter, December 2002 Special Issue

REPORT - The latest Chicago Fed Letter is titled 'Financial market and regulatory behaviour over the business cycle'. It asks the questions, should regulation and supervision be used to smooth out the business cycle? and how do financial firms respond to…

Greenspan speaks at book launch

SPEECH - Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan spoke at the launch of a new book by Allan Meltzer. He described the book, History of the Federal Reserve Volume I as an indispensable input for monetary economists and economic historians alike. Drafts of the book…

Edward George on price/earnings ratios

SPEECH - Sir Edward George of the Bank of England told the Association of Corporate Treasurers last week that on some measures price/earnings ratos were back to the long-term averages. Is he saying the equity bubble is over, at least in the UK?

Greenspan on the economic outlook

SPEECH - In testimony titled 'The economic outlook' made on 13 November, Alan Greenspan of the Federal Reserve said before Congress's Joint Economic Committee, that last week's sharp interest rate cut should help the country through its "soft patch,"…

Greenspan on The Wealth of Nations Revisited

SPEECH - In the speech 'The Wealth of Nations Revisited' made on 12 November, Alan Greenspan of the Federal Reserve said Adam Smith's idea of the 'invisible hand' whereby economic decisions that benefit an individual benefit society as a whole indirectly…

Greenspan's fight

ARTICLE - Last week, the Federal Reserve decided to blow, once again, into the flapping sails of the US economy. The puncturing of the bubble economy continues to create fierce headwinds. Further interest rate cuts - perhaps more unorthodox measures -…

Greenspan: Economy has hit 'soft patch'

US - Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan said on Wednesday the U.S. economy was weighed down by worry over possible war and falling stock prices but not by dangerous imbalances that tended to herald recession.

Gramlich on smart growth, at the Cleveland Fed

SPEECH - In a speech to the Cleveland Fed Conference made on 7 November, Edward Gramlich of the Federal Reserve said the fundamental principle of smart growth is that development should be of a holistic nature. That is, rather than just paying attention…

Bies on effective accounting and disclosure

SPEECH - In the speech 'Effective Accounting and Disclosure for Financial Transactions and Financial Institutions' made on 7 November, Susan Bies of the Federal Reserve said a restoration of public confidence in the U.S. capital markets has begun, but…

Ferguson on recent experience and economic outlook

SPEECH - In the speech 'Recent Experience and Economic Outlook' made on 12 November, Roger Ferguson of the Federal Reserve said the most recent recession was relatively mild and the current recovery has proved to be fairly weak compared with previous…

FRBSF Economic Letter - Stock Market Volatility

RESEARCH - In this Economic Letter from the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco the author surveys the academic literature on the properties and causes of stock market volatility, focusing on the debate on whether the stock market varies excessively,…

A new policy divide across the Atlantic

ARTICLE - Their analysis was so similar: the US Federal Reserve said on Tuesday that "inflation and inflationary expectations remain well contained"; Wim Duisenberg, the European Central Bank's president, concurred yesterday when he talked about "reduced…

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