Federal Reserve System

Bernanke on discretion and monetary policy

SPEECH - In the speech '"Constrained Discretion" and Monetary Policy' Ben Bernanke of the Federal Reserve said laid out the advantages of using a framework of constrained discretion for making monetary policy. The essence of constrained discretion, he…

Chicago Fed National Activity Index, December 2002

REPORT - CFNAI shows continued softness in economic growth in December - In December, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) remained below zero for a fifth consecutive month. The monthly index came in at -0.49 in December, a small improvement…

McTeer on economic prospects for the US

SPEECH - In the speech 'X' Bob McTeer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas said as a central banker he should say something about inflation. "Well, it's low and conditions are already ripe for it to go lower. Especially if growth picks up. And a policy…

Minutes of the Federal Open Market Committee

MINUTES - The Federal Reserve on 30 January released the minutes of its FOMC meeting of 10 December. The information reviewed at this meeting suggested that economic growth had been sluggish on balance since midsummer. Industrial production dropped…

Does the Beige Book move financial markets?

RESEARCH - In the Atlanta Fed Working Paper 'Does the Beige Book Move Financial Markets?' the authors examine whether the descriptive content of the Beige Book affects asset prices. Their results indicate that more positive Beige Book reports on economic…

Broaddus on the economic outlook for 2003

SPEECH - In the speech 'The Economic Outlook for 2003' Alfred Broaddus of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond said he thought the Federal Reserve was unlikely to "run out of ammunition" as substantial levels of liquidity could still be introduced to the…

Kansas City Fed Economic Review, Fourth Quarter 02

PUBLICATION - The Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City has published the Fourth Quarter 2002 edition of its Economic Review. This edition contains articles from the bank's 2002 Economic Policy Symposium, 'Rethinking Stabilization Policy' - Central Bank…

Backstrom on Financial Cycles

SPEECH - In the speech 'Financial Cycles' Urban Backstrom of Sweden's central bank said financial crises substantially increase the risk of outright deflation after some time. A central bank could manage this risk in two ways: by at least trying to…

Santomero on The Economic Outlook

SPEECH - In the speech 'The Economic Outlook - Technology on the Horizon' Anthony Santomero of the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia said he expects 2003 to be a transition year for the national economy on the path to sustained expansion. Stimulative…

No way to run the world's biggest economy

ARTICLE - The article says that the US economy needs a sizeable short-term stimulus to prevent deflation. While the Federal Reserve has led the way, the chronic shortage of saving in the US has reduced policy options, including the possibility of tax…

Broaddus sees recovery continuing in 2003

Richmond Federal Reserve President Alfred Broaddus on Thursday said he saw the U.S. recovery rolling ahead this year, while cautioning that risks still lurked, such as a long war with Iraq and the seven-week-old Venezuelan workers' strike.

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