New IMF paper finds fiscal consolidation boosts poor country growth in medium term

IMF headquarters in Washington, DC

A new working paper from a pair of researchers at the International Monetary Fund (IMF) uses a "novel" vector autoregressive approach to estimate fiscal multipliers while controlling for debt feedback effects.

The researchers use the model to estimate the multipliers for low-income countries, using results for advanced and emerging market economies, and find that "fiscal consolidation in low-income countries has only a small temporary negative effect on growth while raising medium-term output".

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