IMF Paper: The use and abuse of Taylor Rules

The IMF Working Paper "The use and abuse of Taylor Rules: How precisely can we estimate them?" published Tuesday 9 August draws attention to inconsistencies in estimating simple monetary policy rules and their implications for policy advice.

The authors simulate a macroeconomic model with a backward reaction function similar to Taylor (1993). They estimate different versions of a policy rule, using these simulated data. Under certain circumstances, estimations document an illusionary presence of

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