Monetary Policy
Turkish central bank cuts rates again as currency falls
Lira hits new low days after president dismissed senior officials
Forecaster surveys improve eurozone inflation modelling – ECB paper
Households’ and firms’ expectations do not provide useful data on inflation
ECB paper examines ‘euroised’ economies
European countries’ informal adoption of euro places limits on central banks, says working paper
Fed’s Bullard believes a ‘five-year window’ for AIT is ‘realistic’
St Louis Fed president says “big tent language” was a reason overshoot details were not specified; “precise numerical implementations” can “get you into trouble”
Permanent or transitory? Officials wrestle with inflation uncertainty
Bailey warns of possible damage to credibility, but Carstens urges caution amid high uncertainty
IMFC backs new trust to channel resources to vulnerable economies
Resilience and Sustainability Trust would offer support to a wider set of countries and could be used to share out special drawing rights
James Bullard on Fed policy, action and governance
St Louis president calls for tapering amid “exceptional” job market and risk of “more persistent” inflation, quantifies ‘big tent language’ for pioneering AIT move, and details Congress’s role in Fed ethics oversight
Mexican inflation rising rapidly, warns deputy governor
Heath says prices increasing at “really phenomenal” rate but expects full pandemic recovery by 2023
MAS allows Singapore dollar to appreciate in tightening move
Policy-makers raise slope of the S$NEER policy band, citing rising inflation
Turkish president fires deputy governors
Move appears to be Erdoğan’s latest bid to impose low interest rates despite rising inflation
BoE ends off-the-record meetings with banks
Change follows concerns about similar practices at other central banks
Chilean MPC speeds up tightening, citing higher inflation risks
Central bank board surprises markets, increasing interest rates by 125 basis points to 2.75%
Clarida: ‘Stagflation is not my baseline case’
Fed vice-chair says inflation situation not akin to 1970s
Covid-19, crypto and climate weigh on global economy – GFSR
Central banks face difficult “intertemporal trade-offs”; poorer nations unlikely to regain pre-Covid growth levels for “many, many years”, says IMF’s financial counsellor Tobias Adrian
ECB’s Lane: one-off wage increases do not equal sustained inflation
Inflation is forecast to have reached 3.4% year on year in September, well above the ECB’s 2% goal
Summers fears for Fed’s ability to remove ‘punchbowl’
Central banks may not be able to counter inflation threat amid possible return to 1960s economics, says former US Treasury secretary
Peru central bank raises rates for third time in two months
BCRP forecasts inflation will return to target, but expresses concern over expectations
Some ECB rate-setters concerned over inflation
Minutes show certain governing council members called for sharper cut in asset purchases
Bank of Israel again holds rate steady
But MPC signals it is ready to end QE programme if economic recovery continues
Uruguayan central bank makes second rate increase in a row
Central bank aims to end “expansive” monetary policy and guide inflation to target range
Romania orders first rate increase in more than three years
Central bank adds 25 basis points as energy prices bite, while Moldova continues tightening
Iceland tightens policy to tame inflation
Inflation rose to 4.4% in September, above the central bank’s 2.5% target
RBNZ begins monetary tightening with 25bp hike
Central bank is confident inflation will return to target, but says growth will be “volatile”