Changes in the Federal Reserve's inflation target

The Boston Fed Working Paper "Changes in the Federal Reserve's inflation target: causes and consequences" estimates a New Keynesian model to draw inferences about the behavior of the Federal Reserve's unobserved inflation target.

The results indicate that the target rose from 1- 1/4 percent in 1959 to over 8 percent in the mid-to-late 1970s before falling back below 2-1/2 percent in 2004. The results also provide some support for the hypothesis that over the entire postwar period, Federal Reserve

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