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Polish paper extolls benefits of probability forecasts
Research finds forecasting technique that seeks to quantify the uncertainty surrounding economists’ predictions has ‘rich interpretation possibilities’
National Bank of Kazakhstan’s SWF seeks new fund managers
Central bank issues tenders for two managers to oversee portfolios worth $50-150 million each
Stein says Fed could deploy monetary policy to cool credit markets
Jeremy Stein says imperfect regulatory tools may require monetary and macro-prudential policies to work in tandem if credit markets overheat, but spotting trouble is not straightforward
Norwegian paper suggests alternative to ‘conclusion-based’ interest rate decisions
Research examines the stories behind interest rate decisions; reveals benefits to voting on contributing elements as opposed to final level
ECB's Cœuré argues integrating SSM in ECB has benefits for monetary policy
Executive board member sees benefits to monetary policy in bringing supervisory mechanism into the ECB
Czech researchers examine factors behind monetary transmission lags
Working paper synthesises 67 quantitative studies of lags in monetary policy transmission, finding that financial development increases lags, but results may be biased by study design
NY Fed paper highlights money market fund ‘stampede’ risk
Staff report finds intermediation by money market funds can turn unexpected withdrawals into runs, meaning a small shock can bring down the whole banking system
Ireland passes emergency liquidity restructuring bill
Irish parliament passes bill to transform promissory notes into long-term sovereign bond, and wind up 'bad bank'
Draghi says markets should have final say on currency strength
ECB president re-affirms the central bank's independence; emphasises ‘accommodative' monetary policy, as governing council votes to hold rates again
HKMA shores up Hibor-setting mechanisms
Package of measures aims to improve the transparency and robustness of the benchmark rate; UK bank fined $612 million by US and UK regulators over Libor rigging
New York Fed paper warns of negative welfare effects of capital controls
Staff report finds significant gains available from international policy coordination, and that interventions in the international flow of capital can hit global and individual welfare
IMF working paper calls for consistency in East African monetary policy
Study into monetary transmission mechanism in the East African Community finds policy tools often used in a contradictory manner
FDIC director backs Haldane on leverage ratio
Jeremiah Norton follows Bank of England’s Andrew Haldane in criticising Basel III’s risk-weighted assets, and says a higher leverage ratio would be a simple, effective solution
Colombian paper finds flaws in inflation forecasting
Research by the Central Bank of Colombia says many central banks have scope to improve the accuracy of their inflation forecasts
Ex JPMorgan chief backs UK banking regulations
Bill Winters says banks won't ‘up sticks' and leave London in light of tougher regulation, but rejects the addition of a ‘Volcker rule' to the ring-fence
BoJ board member says 2% target is not sustainable
Takehiro Sato explains his vote against Bank of Japan’s inflation target change, and says central bank will not intervene to depress the value of the yen – but the government might
BIS paper anatomises global liquidity
Study finds liquidity conditions are shaped by credit supply, credit demand, and monetary policy; financial crisis a product of all three
Bank of Israel likely to hold rates throughout 2013
Staff at Israeli central bank forecast steady growth and inflation over next year; say benchmark interest rate would remain unchanged
FSB endorses South African reform efforts
First peer review under new guidelines praises South African plans for ‘twin peaks’ regulators and tighter OTC derivatives rules; implementation still presents obstacles
Bank of Mauritius chief bemoans ‘glaring absence’ of bank resolution mechanism
Rundheersing Bheenick says lack of efficient resolution mechanism is harming Mauritius’s position as a global financial centre
Egypt takes new steps to halt economy's downward slide
Central bank adjusts exchange rate rules as Egyptian government announces it will complete its economic reform plan by the end of this week
People: Shirakawa to step down early; Cyprus creates new post of deputy governor
BoJ governor to leave his post ahead of end of term; Cyprus creates deputy governor post to help conform with Troika demands; and more
Mexican governor proposes systematic approach for future crises
Agustín Carstens lays out crisis response plan for governments; stresses the need to manage expectations first and foremost
EC buttresses anti-money laundering defences
European Commission toughens line on money laundering, proposing new rules to cope with estimated $580 billion laundered in the global financial system in 2009, with just 0.2% intercepted