Inflation

RBA: Separating "signal" from "noise" in inflation

Estimating underlying inflation is crucial in monetary-policy making that uses "noisy" CPI data in forecasting. In a recent speech Tony Richards, head of economic analysis at the RBA, set out work the central bank has done in this area.

Room for improvement in Riksbank's monetary policy

A parliamentary report into Sweden's monetary policy says that while the Riksbank compares favourably with other central banks in terms of monetary policy, the persistent undershooting of its inflation target in recent years means there is room for…

UK rates have peaked - OECD

British interest rates are likely to have hit their peak according to the OECD's latest Economic Report, released on 28 November.

Canada to research inflation target

Although the Bank of Canada's inflation target will remain at 2% for the next five years, the central bank has announced a major research project on the benefits of lowering the target.

New Thai governor on IT

In a speech called "Inflation targeting - a reflection on Thailand's experience," the newly-appointed governor of the Bank of Thailand, Tarisa Watanagase, cautioned that the framework should not be seen as a panacea.

Unplanned system trumps Bretton Woods - paper

According to this new NBER working paper by Andrew Rose, the current international monetary system of independent central banks targeting domestic inflation is more stable than the post-war Bretton Woods system of fixed exchange rates.

Warsh on financial markets and the Federal Reserve

In the speech 'Financial markets and the Federal Reserve' given on 21 November Kevin Warsh of the Federal Reserve said the U.S. economy is still at risk of higher inflation, although market signals point to a gradual receding of price gains.

Japan's economy to keep growing - minutes

The Bank of Japan reiterated plans to raise interest rates ``gradually,'' keeping pace with inflation and growth in the world's second-largest economy, minutes of a policy board meeting held last month showed Tuesday 21 November.

Chicago Fed's Moskow on the US economic outlook

In the speech 'U.S. economic outlook' given on 16 November Michael Moskow of the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago said the risk of inflation in the US remaining too high, rather than a slowing economy, is the Federal Reserve's main concern.

IMF's Rato says more rate rises may be needed

International Monetary Fund managing director Rodrigo de Rato said in an interview with Bloomberg on Friday 17 November that central banks may need to increase interest rates further to keep inflation under wraps, amid faster global economic growth.

SARB's Mboweni on supporting development

In the speech 'Joining hands in support of development' given on 14 November Tito Mboweni of the South African Reserve Bank said the SARB will remain resolute to keep inflation under control, and not hesitate to change monetary policy before Christmas if…

Fed's Kroszner on conquest of worldwide inflation

In the speech 'The conquest of worldwide inflation: Currency competition and its implications for interest rates and the yield curve' given on 16 November Randall Kroszner of the Federal Reserve said better performance by central banks around the world…

Bernanke seen as unlikely to push inflation target

This article from the Finanical Times, published Wednesday 15 November, says that fallout from the Democrats recent victories could include a slow down in Ben Bernanke's drive to lead the Federal Reserve towards adopting a numerical inflation target.

Bank of England Inflation Report, November 2006

The Bank of England published its November 2006 Inflation Report on 15 November. At a press conference BoE governor Mervyn King highlighted that the central bank's latest forecast of easing inflationary pressures is a 'benign' one.

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