Economics
ECB paper attempts to measure spillovers from Fed policy
Authors use asset price data to estimate global effects of FOMC moves
Obstfeld argues central banks’ rate models are ‘conceptually flawed’
Former IMF chief economist says rates could soon return to the effective lower bound
High income central banks allocate most time to research
Research economists are more numerous and are allotted more research time in high income jurisdictions
Managing reserves amid climate change and home-shoring
Central banks can still make asset allocations with solid climate outcomes, despite slippage in the net-zero timetable, writes Gary Smith
ECB paper analyses impact of Chinese financial shocks
“China shocks” affect global commodities and equities, but less than US equivalents, researchers find
AI adoption still limited among central bank economists
High income countries report slightly higher impact but most say practical use of AI is minimal
European Commission lowers 2023 GDP growth forecast
EC expects eurozone economy to expand by 0.6% this year
UK inflation falls more than BoE had expected
Housing prices fall year on year for first time since 2012, while energy prices also decline
BIS names top journals for central bank research
Not all of the top five general economics journals make the list, and finance journals miss top spots
CBDCs could challenge foundations of monetary economics, says Tombini
BIS Americas chief thinks digital currencies could co-exist with other rapid payment systems
People: New governor in Sierra Leone
Brazilian president nominates two new central bank directors; new head of statistics at ECB; and more
China boosts support for economy with new debt issuance
The central government will issue one trillion yuan in bonds in the fourth quarter
Corporate pandemic cash buffer is running low, finds research
The impact of monetary policy could grow as companies’ cash dwindles, Boston Fed paper says
UK researchers propose 3% inflation target and negative rates
Inflation stalls at 6.7% in September, the same figure as in August
Book notes: Economists in the cold war, by Alan Bollard
A geographically balanced review of key economists that shaped the world economy
Rate hikes: too much, too late – and now too dangerous
Why monetary tightening risks a global credit crunch
China SWF buying bank shares on Shanghai exchange
Central Huijin was created in 2003 to address domestic banking crisis
Claudia Goldin wins Nobel Prize for economics
Economist uses history and data analysis to identify drivers of gender inequality
Canadian deputy governor warns of repeating pricing pressures
Vincent argues supply shocks, technology and consolidation may make raising prices easier
Monetary policy tops US CFOs’ concerns
Survey finds high rates curtailing spending in 40% of firms
Joachim Nagel on the ECB’s terminal rate, fiscal policy, model relevance and the digital euro
The Deutsche Bundesbank president speaks about compromise on the Governing Council, rolling back PEPP, the need to implement Basel III and the chances of a revised Stability and Growth Pact
BoE publishes terms of reference for Bernanke review
Former Fed chair to provide insights into how to forecast in “significant uncertainty”
OECD says interest rates should stay high ‘until well into 2024’
Report says monetary policy needs to stay tight until underlying inflationary pressures are lowered
FOMC members’ narratives add value to projections, finds paper
Both staff and FOMC members 'projections aid forecasting, refuting Romer and Romer