Research

Chicago Fed National Activity Index, January 2003

REPORT - CFNAI Shows U.S. Economy Improved in January - In January, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) moved above zero for the first time since last July. The January reading was +0.38, a substantial improvement from December and the…

New York Fed on Current Issues

RESEARCH - The February 2003 edition of the New York Fed's 'Current Issues in Economics and Finance' contains an article titled 'New York City's Economy before and after September 11'. An analysis of employment and income trends suggests that the…

Survey of Professional Forecasters

SURVEY - The Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia has published its Survey of Professional Forecasters for the First Quarter 2003. The economy will grow slowly over the first half of the year, according to 37 forecasters surveyed. However, the…

Basel Committee Publications - Operational risk

REPORT - This paper, "Sound practices for the management and supervision of operational risk" prepared by the Risk Management Group of the Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, outlines a set of principles that provide a framework for the effective…

EU banking sector stability report

REPORT - The European Central Bank (ECB) released on 24 February a report on the stability of the EU banking sector. The report was prepared by the Banking Supervision Committee of the European System of Central Banks, which comprises representatives…

Economic Perspectives, First Quarter 2003

REPORT - The Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago has published its regular quarterly journal of in-depth articles reporting on the Bank's economic research for the Fourth Quarter 2002. This edition includes an article 'Inflation and monetary policy in the…

Philadelphia Fed Business Outlook Survey, Feb 2003

REPORT - Activity in the region's manufacturing sector was mostly flat, according to firms surveyed for February's Business Outlook Survey. Although one-third of firms reported higher new orders in February, one-fifth reported lower orders, and other…

Bank of Canada Working Paper, February 2003

RESEARCH - In the Working Paper "Managing Operational Risk in Payment, Clearing, and Settlement Systems" Kim McPhail describes the key features of systemically important PCSS in Canada and the oversight role of the Bank of Canada with respect to those…

Bank of Canada Review, Winter 2002-2003

REPORT - The Bank of Canada published its Review for Winter 2002-2003 on 19 February. The Review contains articles titled Recent Changes to Canada's Financial Sector Legislation, Exchange Rate Regimes in Emerging Markets, Transparency and the Response of…

Origin and Procedures of Central Banking

BOOK - The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland's Central Bank Institute has published the introduction to a new book called "Origin and Procedures of Central Banking". The papers in the accompanying volume were first presented at the Institute's first…

The Art of Targeting Inflation

RESEARCH - The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland's Central Bank Institute has published the paper "The Art of Inflation Targeting" by Lars Heikensten and Anders Vredin. The paper describes the Riksbank's transition to inflation targeting and explains how…

Fed Reserve Bank of St Louis Review, Jan/ Feb 2003

PUBLICATION - The latest edition of the St Louis Fed's Review for January-February 2003 includes articles titled "The Impact of Changes in FOMC Disclosure Practices on the Transparency of Monetary Policy: Are Markets and the FOMC Better "Synched"?" and …

Bank of Finland Discussion Paper

RESEARCH - Central bank spending on the operation of inter-bank funds transfer systems may range from below one million to nearly a billion US dollars annually. The paper "Payment systems efficiency, policy approaches, and the role of the central bank"…

Bank of Japan Monthly Report, February 2003

REPORT - The Bank of Japan published its Monthly Report of Recent Economic and Financial Developments, February 2003, on 18 February. "Economic activity remains flat amid substantial uncertainty about the outlook for the economy," the report said. One…

Preventing money laundering in Israel

REPORT - The Bank of Israel's January 2003 edition of its newsletter BOI includes an outline of efforts by the central bank and government to prevent money laundering after Israel was placed on the FATF's blacklist of countries deemed non cooperative in…

Monetary Policy Report to the Congress

REPORT - In the Federal Reserve's report to Congress it reflects on the series of blows the US economy has suffered in the last few years, including the falls in equity values, the terrorist attacks of September 2001, corporate malfeasance and the…

ECB Monthly Bulletin, February 2003

REPORT - The European Central Bank published its February 2003 Monthly Bulletin on 13 February. This issue contains two articles. The first addresses the interactions between the single monetary policy and fiscal policies in the euro area. The second…

Deutsche Bundesbank Monthly Report, January 2003

REPORT - The Bundesbank said in its January 2003 monthly report that there were further job cuts and unemployment increased significantly. The price climate in Germany at the end of 2002 remained favourable. The rate of consumer price increase remained…

Bank of England Inflation Report, February 2003

REPORT - The Bank of England published its quarterly Inflation Report for February 2003 on Wednesday. In the report the Bank reduced its growth forecast for the UK economy to 2.5 per cent this year from 3 per cent. On the euro-zone economy the report…

IMF Working Paper Series

RESEARCH - The Working Paper 'Inflation Targeting Regimes' classifies countries that define their monetary policy framework by an inflation target into full-fledged inflation targeters, eclectic inflation targeters and inflation targeting lite regimes…

IMF paper on current issues in monetary policy

RESEARCH - 'Current Issues in the Design and Conduct of Monetary Policy' by Mohsin S. Khan, Director, IMF Institute, International Monetary Fund. The paper says that recent developments have brought to the forefront the idea that freely mobile capital,…

IMF Working Paper Series

RESEARCH - In the working paper 'Monetary Policy and Asset Prices: Does "Benign Neglect" Make Sense?' Michael Bardo and Olivier Jeanne of the IMF's Research Department consider the potential case for preemptive monetary restrictions when asset price…

Chicago Fed National Activity Index, December 2002

REPORT - CFNAI shows continued softness in economic growth in December - In December, the Chicago Fed National Activity Index (CFNAI) remained below zero for a fifth consecutive month. The monthly index came in at -0.49 in December, a small improvement…

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