Canada
Canada’s GDP revisions ‘raise questions over monetary policy’
However, experts disagree on whether central bank’s modelling was flawed and if it cut rates too quickly
How (not) to review your monetary policy framework
The Fed made some mistakes in its last strategy review. As it prepares to have another go, it could learn from other central banks
Bank of Canada pivots away from retail CBDC
Decision to scale back research follows similar move by Australian central bank
BoC paper offers monetary policy ‘decision synthesis’
Authors say model combination method helps capture complexities of decision-making
US’s indirect reliance on Chinese goods rises – NY Fed research
Study finds country’s largest partners are importing increasing amounts of goods from China
Sovereign debt in default fell by 1% in 2023 – BoC study
Research finds shift in lending away from Paris Club creditors towards China
New NBER research sheds light on ‘cheapflation’
Savings from price discounts partially offset by price hikes for cheaper products
Canadian rate hikes may have lasting effects – research
Bank of Canada researchers find disposable income could decrease by up to 5% by 2027
Bank of Canada reduces rates by 25bp
Macklem says runway for a soft landing is in sight and policy is working
Bank of Canada conducts large-scale survey of indigenous-owned firms
Indigenous firms have higher inflation expectations and use alternative funding sources
Use machine learning to protect payment systems – research
Tool could also be used to warn of money laundering and bank runs, researchers say
Neutral interest rate likely to rise, paper finds
Several factors are pushing rate upwards, Bank of Canada researchers say
Neutral interest rates at pre-pandemic levels, Bank of Canada finds
Nominal neutral interest rates in both countries sit between 2.25% and 3.25%
US news has a large impact on global bond yields – research
Bank of Canada research finds US news affects expectations in other countries
Bank of Canada holds rates for sixth consecutive time
Central bank optimistic that rate cuts are ahead and inflation will gradually fall
New measurement shows ‘historically high’ Canadian financial stress
Financial fragility is concentrated among renters and some mortgage holders, paper says
Bank of Canada holds interest rate targets
Governor expresses fear of underlying inflation becoming stuck above 2% target
Standardised FRTB leaves banks befuddled on residual risk
Benchmarking exercises find “weak consensus” among banks over notional values for exotics
Monetary policy shocks ‘amplified by financial integration’
Expansionary policy in one country leads to contraction in another, BoC researchers find
Large cap on Canadian CBDC curbs disintermediation
Central bank paper says currency will benefit rural populations underserved by commercial banks
BoE puts American spin on fix for FRTB’s govvies dilemma
Four jurisdictions find four different ways to resolve Basel market risk capital quirk