Bank of Israel research derives growth estimate from survey data
Researchers construct real-time indicator that can be produced earlier than nowcasts
Israeli researchers have developed a new means of estimating GDP growth using information contained within surveys of sentiment among firms.
Tanya Suhoy of the Bank of Israel and Daniel Roash from the Israeli statistics authority find a link between sentiment contained in answers to the Business Tendency Survey and GDP growth.
In their paper, the researchers propose a “sentiment index” based on a partial least squares regression. This allows them to focus on variables drawn from the survey
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Data
Rate uncertainty means firms hire and invest less – BdF study
European companies hoard cash and reduce dividend payments when monetary stance is unclear
ECB study highlights firms’ exposure to property downturn
Analysis examines risks to various classes of investor from exposure to commercial real estate
Energy price rises have stronger effects than decreases – study
Asymmetric effects of gas and crude oil price rises could lead to tighter monetary policy
The hidden dynamics behind China’s BoP ‘errors and omissions’
Marcello Minenna highlights the possible implications an unaccounted-for £30bn has for the PBoC
Cloud and AI ‘dramatically improving’ data use at BoE
UK central bank creates cloud-based platform to streamline processing of its 30,000 data series
High Russian growth ‘extremely unlikely’ – Bank of Finland study
Reports shows labour shortages, capacity constraints are beginning to bite
IMF review of Russia’s economy ‘postponed indefinitely’
Regular Article IV consultation cancelled after international pressure
Rise in UK services inflation curbs bets on BoE rate cut
CPI flat overall, but economists say uptick in core and services numbers likely to make policy-makers pause