Joint modelling of commodity and equity prices increases portfolio volatility

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Joint modelling of commodity and equity prices produces more accurate point and density forecasts, which lead to substantial benefits in portfolio allocation, a recent working paper by the Bank for International Settlements (BIS) finds.

According to the paper, On the Correlation Between Commodity and Equity Returns: Implications for Portfolio Allocation by Marco Jacopo Lombardi and Francesco Ravazzolo, which uses a time-varying Bayesian Dynamic Conditional Correlation model for volatilities and

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