Monetary Policy
Fed policy roundtable II: recession risk and sticky inflation
Academics look at forward guidance, asset purchases, and the “magic” in forecasting models
RBI raises rate 35bp to ‘break’ inflation persistence
Committee splits as it tries to balance inflation fight against continued growth
Housing plays growing role in transmitting ECB policy, paper finds
Labour earnings still most important means of transmission, researchers say
Fed policy roundtable: inflation targeting, asset purchases and uncertainty
Academics look at forward guidance, asset purchases, and the “magic” in forecasting models
Fed’s climate risk guidance splits governors
Consultation on climate risk principles criticised by two Fed governors
RBA delivers another 25bp rate hike
Philip Lowe signals flexibility over further rate increases
The ECB’s collateral conundrum
A lack of high-quality collateral in the eurozone has resulted in money market rates lagging ECB policy rates, hampering monetary policy transmission
Moldovan central bank reverses tightening cycle
Unscheduled decision marks end to long series of hikes despite rising inflation and falling currency
Armenia’s Galstyan calls for a new framework to tackle uncertainty and nonlinearities
Central Bank of Armenia governor says central banks can start to regain credibility by admitting their mistakes. This could include employing a risk-management approach to monetary policy aimed at avoiding nonlinear ‘dark corners’ and placing much less…
Powell signals FOMC may slow pace of hikes
Fed hopes to remove labour market pressure by cutting number of job openings, Powell says
Namibia increases policy rate by 50bp
Central bank shadows South Africa’s hike last week to preserve currency link
Ghana hikes rates again as inflation passes 40%
Governor says country faces “huge financing gap” as government uses central bank credit
Guatemala accelerates hikes while Dominican Republic pauses
Dominican core and headline inflation falling, but pressures are rising in Guatemala
Fed officials disagree on dealing with uncertainty
Vice-chair Brainard and Cleveland Fed’s Mester take different stances on uncertainty
Eurozone inflation falls for first time in 17 months, estimates say
Eurostat figures show inflation dropping in most countries, including Germany
Bank of Thailand raises interest rate by 25 basis points
Central bank decision comes after headline inflation eased to around 6% in October
Knot and Schnabel strike hawkish tone on ECB policy
Portuguese governor calls for an end to 75bp hikes; Lagarde says inflation may still rise
NY Fed’s Williams foresees rate cuts in 2024
Fed minutes discuss inflation expectation dispersion, losses and policy lag risks
Rates round-up: Pakistan adds 100bp to main rate
Central banks raise rates in Kenya, Congo and Iceland
RBA governor apologises over forward guidance
Philip Lowe says he’s sorry that people took out mortgages on the basis of central bank guidance
Sarb hikes rates as inflation continues to rise
MPC votes by three to two for 75bp rise as Kganyago warns power cuts are harming economy
Chile’s Costa on tackling inflation, forex interventions and nowcasting
The Central Bank of Chile governor speaks about stubbornly high prices, Fed policy spillovers, reserve buffers, retail CBDC and the need to address unconscious bias
Book notes: Zero interest rate policy and the new abnormal, by Michael Beenstock
Author's contention that asset purchases caused the low neutral rate of interest is entertaining and infuriating in equal measure