Irish paper tracks monetary policy’s effects on mortgage default

Researchers use “quasi-natural experiment” based on data from two types of loan

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Central Bank of Ireland: paper presents new means of estimation

A working paper published by the Central Bank of Ireland presents a new method of estimating the effect of monetary policy on a country’s real estate market.

In How does monetary policy pass-through affect mortgage default? Evidence from the Irish mortgage market, David Byrne, Robert Kelly and Conor O’Toole use what they call “a quasi-natural experiment to identify the impact of changes in interest rates on mortgage default”.

The authors use a panel of loan-level administrative data for the

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