Financial Stability
FSB report finds mixed progress on benchmark reforms
Report welcomes ‘good progress’ on many recommendations, particularly surrounding London fix, but identifies room for improvements
Fed’s Dudley: liquidity warnings a ploy to weaken regulation
'Most arbitrage trading has simply ceased,' while Treasury market depth has dropped from $500 million to $130 million, bankers say
European Commission unveils capital markets union ‘action plan’
European capital markets must be standardised and liberalised, commission says; specific areas of focus include infrastructure funding and securitisation markets
Credit growth has had significant impact on EM growth, IMF paper says
IMF paper explores relationship between the level and composition of credit growth and real GDP growth across 31 emerging market economies
Cyber attacks could represent systemic threat, warns Ireland’s Roux
A string of cyber attacks on financial institutions could start a ‘domino effect’ that triggers a financial crisis, so firms need to improve their defences, deputy governor says
Economists expected lower inflation under Yellen than Bernanke, SNB paper finds
Sample of economists from ‘reputable academic and policy institutions’ on aggregate expected slightly lower inflation under Yellen compared to if Bernanke had stayed on
Paraguayan central bank plans to expand new database
Central Bank of Paraguay aims to include wider range of data in new online platform, which was launched last week to ‘favourable reception’
Central banks should prepare to deal with sharp drops in liquidity, IMF says
Policy-makers need to take action to halt rising risks relating to liquidity, IMF says; central banks may be able to use collateral policies to deal with crises
BoE paper extracts inflation expectations from market rates
Market rates are an imperfect measure of expected future inflation, say economists, who break them down into constituent parts, stripping out risk premia and the ‘wedge’ between RPI and CPI
Botswana research weighs impact of various instruments on credit
While interest rates may be more effective at influencing credit than reserve requirements, more ‘direct’ macro-prudential measures could be even better, Botswana article finds
FSB agrees final TLAC principles but asset management work has way to run
Meeting in London sees the organisation agree final draft principles for total loss-absorbing capacity, as new branches of research into asset management risks sprout
Noyer wants tailored approach to shadow bank regulation
Banque de France governor highlights the risks of a ‘one size fits all’ approach to regulation across the banking and shadow banking sectors
Global indicators can boost inflation forecasts in short term, paper finds
Author uses global inflation indicators and Brent oil price to augment domestic inflation forecasts in 523 countries, finding both improve accuracy
Irish central bank may spread higher levy on finance industry over time
The Central Bank of Ireland may spread the proposed increase in its annual levy on the financial industry over several years, but it still backs the call for non-banks to meet 100% of costs
IMF staff calls for ‘comprehensive strategy’ on non-performing loans
IMF staff call for creation of asset management companies to free up European banks from distressed debt; cites Spain as good example
Macro-prudential institutions were designed too hastily, Tucker warns
Group of economists including former BoE deputy warn macro-prudential policies are too poorly understood and were too hastily assembled to be effective, outlining possible enhancements
Lithuanian paper explores macroeconomic imbalances
Working paper advocates a more refined analysis of the misalignments in current accounts and real effective exchange rates for the macroeconomic imbalance procedure
BoE’s FPC says no immediate action required on buy-to-let
Bank of England financial policy committee is ‘alert’ to impact of buy-to-let loans on the housing market and overall financial volatility but finds no ‘immediate’ case for action
ECB paper considers how to mitigate US spillovers
Global economies could mitigate their vulnerability to US monetary policy decisions through a range of different policy actions, research finds.
UK banks won't face FRTB capital hike – BoE official
Policy expert says most trading risks already captured under Pillar 2 framework
IMF paper offers recipe for ‘de-dollarisation’
High levels of dollarisation in central Asia are contributing to macroeconomic instability, paper says; authors offer various options that could help reduce reliance on dollars
Competition can boost macro-financial stability, research finds
A survey of 54 European banks shows increased competition increases the fragility of individual banks but decreases systemic risk, working paper says
Fed board approves changes to same-day ACH service
Institutions that receive payments through the ACH network will have to participate in same-day service, but will be compensated by a new interbank fee levied on originators
Organisations outline next step in plans to strengthen CCPs
Basel-based groups and Iosco publish workplan for coordinated international policies on CCPs, and offer update on story so far; 2016 will see the bulk of analysis published