Bank of Canada Review Autumn 2001

RESEARCH - Predictability of Average Inflation over Long Time Horizons by Allan Crawford. Short summary.

Uncertainty about the level of future inflation adversely affects the economy because it distorts the savings and investment decisions of households and businesses. Since these decisions typically involve planning horizons of many years, the adverse effects from inflation uncertainty can be reduced by adopting a policy framework that makes future inflation more predictable over long time

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