Articles by Central Banking Newsdesk
‘Great moderation’ due to weaker recoveries, paper argues
The ‘great moderation’ in the US economy is still significant if analysed using a longer data set than previously, researchers argue; one of two significant falls in US volatility since 1875
Carney treads carefully amid potential threats to BoE independence
Governor expresses concern over the National Audit Office's role in the new Bank of England Bill, but dismisses fears he is harming free debate by chairing too many committees
Bullard offers alternatives to cutting reserve bank dividend
St Louis Fed president takes issue with congressional proposal to cut dividend paid to largest banks; suggests tying amount paid to benchmark rate instead or eliminating it completely
BoE’s Bailey defends dropping reverse burden of proof
PRA chief says decision to backtrack on key element of senior managers regime makes the rules more robust; rejects suggestion he has been ‘cowed by the lawyers’
US softens discourse on renminbi ahead of SDR review
Treasury drops 'significantly undervalued' reference in flagship report to Congress on foreign exchange rate policies ahead of IMF review next month
PRA plans to subject ‘other systemic institutions’ to tougher scrutiny
Institutions designated as O-Siis would face tighter scrutiny and be expected to produce resolution plans, with the potential for further measures in the future
Ireland to move to euro rounding next week
Shoppers in Ireland will have transactions rounded to nearest five cents, Central Bank of Ireland says; scheme to be voluntary and apply only to cash payments
Research moots greater regulation of US Treasury market
The authors discuss the potential for incentivised or mandated liquidity provision by primary dealers and the introduction of designated market-makers to counter greater instability
Eurozone monetary policy works through credit channel, paper argues
Strong evidence eurozone monetary policy works through the credit channel rather than the interest rate channel, paper says; unconventional monetary policy strongest in crisis
Models using service inflation better at predicting economic trends, Cleveland Fed paper finds
Researchers find economic forecasting accuracy improves when based on models that tie together the unemployment rate with inflation in services
No clear evidence for always using trend inflation in models, paper says
Adding positive steady-state inflation to new Keynesian DSGE models improves analysis of high-inflation periods but otherwise does not significantly alter results, paper argues
Eichengreen says central banks lack will not ability to tackle deflation
Central banks have the tools to deal with bad deflation if they are willing to act aggressively enough, economist argues; broadening asset purchases or helicopter money are both options
Ireland’s Gerlach points to indirect impact of macro-prudential tools
Deputy governor says evidence suggests LTV and LTI tools are having the strongest effect via indirect channels, rather than their direct impact on credit, although the tools are still new
Sovereign debt holdings ‘significant’ driver of insurer risk, Bundesbank paper says
Insurance companies at risk from holdings of sovereign debt, and current regulation does not adequately deal with problem, paper argues
MAS's Menon hails local alternative to cash
MAS director says Singapore's electronic transfer system potentially 'safer and cheaper' than notes and coins; wants people to be able to make payments using social networks
John Taylor and William Dudley clash on Fed strategy
Stanford professor John Taylor questions Fed’s communications; New York Fed president William Dudley sets out case against following more rules-based policy
Heterogeneous beliefs may weaken effect of forward guidance, paper argues
Fixed-date and state-contingent guidance by the Federal Reserve led some market expectations to converge, but heterogeneous beliefs about inflation and consumption persisted
Polish governor criticises five presidents’ report
Marek Belka says proposals contain ‘some good ideas’ but are ’timid and vague’ about what should be done in the longer-term; speaks alongside Ewald Nowotny at Warsaw conference
RBI economists attempt to pin down India’s natural rate
Researchers lend support to monetary policy by estimating natural interest rate; results imply the policy rate is now set more appropriately for tackling inflation
Eurosystem to consider Target2 and T2S merger
Yves Mersch says officials will look into the potential for consolidating some components of the payments and securities settlement services; potential for one unified platform
Blanchard and others look to reconcile theory of capital flows with practice
Revamp of Mundell-Fleming model helps explain apparently contradictory results, with important implications for policy-makers looking to respond to capital flows
MAS eases policy in first move since January
Singapore's central bank cuts rate at which currency is allowed to strengthen amid Asia slowdown; keeps width and centre of policy band unchanged
Turkish paper explores productivity differentials
Countries caught in middle-income trap suffered lower productivity gains than others that had ‘graduated’ from it, finds research focused on period from 1950-2005
RBNZ governor reiterates further easing ‘seems likely’
Graeme Wheeler says the central bank is ‘conscious’ of the impact low rates can have on housing demand; RBNZ has cut OCR by 75bp since June