Taylor rule
The Fed can afford to loosen policy
As (nearly) the world’s most hawkish central bank, the Federal Reserve is right to start monetary loosening, writes Steve Kamin
Jackson Hole in the wake of policy rules
Symposium heralds a shift to relying on incoming data and judgement, rather than rules or even formal models, to hit inflation targets, writes Barry Eichengreen
Book notes: Money and the rule of law, by Peter Boettke, Alexander Salter and Daniel Smith
A largely US-focused book, which hankers for more robust rules for central banks but isn’t explicit as to what kind
ECB should adopt symmetric 2% target with AIT – US economist
Academics and former officials say ECB’s new policy framework needs to be nimble to react more quickly to inflation changes
Bundesbank paper uses neural networks for rate forecasting
Artificial neural networks outperform linear and non-linear functions, author says
Canada’s Poloz on monetary policy limits, transparency and cyber recovery
Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz speaks about stagflation risks from trade wars, the importance of market signals, Canada’s CBDC plans and why he is not a fan of minutes
The IMF should adopt a ‘real SDR’
The creation of a vibrant market in SDR linked to commodity prices could create a powerful new monetary anchor, argues Warren Coats
BIS says theory behind EME policy must catch up with ‘reality’
Situation is similar to the adoption of inflation targeting in the early 1990s, says BIS annual report
Open and closed economy central banks react differently to inflation – research
Some economies respond more strongly to certain variables, Fernando Leibovici says
Williams favours average inflation targeting in new research
New York Fed president analyses three groups of inflation-targeting regimes
Bernanke argues for ‘time-limited price targeting’ policy framework
Committing to make up inflation shortfalls in past year would avoid overshooting, paper finds
Fed to review monetary policy framework
Reassessment of the framework has been long sought-after among some Fed officials
‘Bernanke targeting’ may outperform Taylor rule – Fed paper
Paper tests Ben Bernanke’s proposal for temporary price level targets
Fed’s Evans: central bankers not about to be replaced by machines
Chicago Fed president says uncertainty over technological disruption leaves plenty of room for human judgement
Central banks should combine monetary rules to achieve objectives – research
Estimates based on different models should be updated regularly, authors say
Interview: Edward Prescott
The Nobel Prize-winner speaks to Daniel Hinge about time inconsistency and real business cycle theory, and explains why there is no ‘productivity puzzle’
John Williams on the neutral rate of interest and mandate change
The president of the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco speaks about the plunge in the natural rate of interest, and why it means central banks should work together to review their price stability targets
SNB’s Jordan praises John Taylor legacy
The governor values how the Taylor rule has provided policy guidance, becoming an important benchmark
No ‘Taylor rule’ without Meltzer’s support
John Taylor says he would “likely have done other things” if not encouraged by Allan Meltzer to develop the eponymous rule
Paper examines relationship between monetary policy and bank funding crises
Current regulatory tools are not sufficient to contain bank runs, Canadian working paper suggests, underscoring the importance of policy measures such as reserve requirements
Richmond Fed tries to bridge gap between rules and discretion
Economist presents research urging Fed to be more explicit about its strategy using “graphical framework”, while Jeffrey Lacker says rules offer valuable guidance to policy-makers