Effective lower bound has ‘tail risk’ influence on monetary policy, ECB paper argues
Model of US economy suggests effective lower bound can cause undershooting of inflation target
A working paper published by the European Central Bank examines the impact of the effective lower bound (ELB) on monetary policy.
In The risky steady state and the interest rate lower bound, Timothy Hills, Taisuke Nakata and Sebastian Schmidt build what they call "an empirically rich model, calibrated to match key features of the US economy".
Using this model, they find "the tail risk induced by the ELB" can cause inflation to undershoot the target rate.
The ELB thus has an effect even when the
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Monetary Policy
More volatility calls for greater agility – Schnabel
ECB official says new tools, including negative rates, may be needed in more disruptive age
Return to floating rate a ‘medium-term goal’ – NBU official
Head of monetary policy says hryvnia still being used as “means of savings” during war
Ruling party loyalist to become new BoT chair
Appointment of Kittiratt Na-Ranong will increase concerns about erosion of bank’s independence
US debt sustainability and central bank balance sheet dynamics
Higher interest rates are putting pressure on central bank profits and may increase supply of government debt, especially during quantitative tightening. Will central banks be required to issue bonds?
Covid stimulus did not trigger US inflation surge – NBER study
Working paper says QE and fiscal stimulus had minimal impact on price rises
Paper offers solution to EME monetary transmission puzzles
Price and exchange rate conundrums are interconnected, authors find
GCC central banks follow Fed by reducing rates
Saudi Arabia, UAE and Bahrain opt for 25bp cuts, while Qatar loosens by 30bp
Banxico working paper tackles ‘loan puzzle’
Study finds that banks increase credit to low-delinquency sectors following policy tightening