Norges Bank researchers grapple with nonlinear exchange rate pass-through

Authors find empirical results are hard to pin down

Norges Bank HQ, Oslo
Norges Bank. Photo: Norges Bank
Photo: Espen Schive

Imported goods inflation in Norway is at its highest level since 1988 and researchers at Norges Bank believe exchange rate pass-through may be higher than standard models imply. However, specifying the effect proves tricky.

In a staff memo published on April 4, Pål Bergset Ulvedal and Nikka Husom Vonen study pass-through based on a simple equilibrium correction model and a more complex structural model. Based on the structural model, a 1% depreciation of the krone results in a 0.1% increase in

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