ECB bulletin: Too early to tell if inflation has turned a corner
Difficult to pick persistent movements out from the noise
Despite eurozone HICP inflation starting to move up, the outlook is complicated, according to an early-released article from the European Central Bank's forthcoming economic bulletin, published today (July 27).
HICPX, which excludes the impact of food and energy prices, has risen from all-time lows in March and April to 0.8%. The article notes oil price movements can still "blur the signal" for this core indicator via indirect effect, which may take as long as two years after an oil price shock
Only users who have a paid subscription or are part of a corporate subscription are able to print or copy content.
To access these options, along with all other subscription benefits, please contact info@centralbanking.com or view our subscription options here: http://subscriptions.centralbanking.com/subscribe
You are currently unable to print this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
You are currently unable to copy this content. Please contact info@centralbanking.com to find out more.
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (point 2.4), printing is limited to a single copy.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
Copyright Infopro Digital Limited. All rights reserved.
You may share this content using our article tools. As outlined in our terms and conditions, https://www.infopro-digital.com/terms-and-conditions/subscriptions/ (clause 2.4), an Authorised User may only make one copy of the materials for their own personal use. You must also comply with the restrictions in clause 2.5.
If you would like to purchase additional rights please email info@centralbanking.com
More on Monetary Policy
South Africa makes 25bp cut
Central bank stays cautious but continues easing cycle amid slowing inflation
Turkey holds rates at 50% for eighth consecutive month
Analyst says central bank’s cautious positivity about disinflation points to December cut
UK inflation could stay closer to 2% than forecast – BoE deputy
Dave Ramsden presents evidence that disinflation could continue its recent trend
Iceland cuts rates by 50bp
Inflation continues to decelerate but GDP growth is revised down
Hungary holds rates again
MNB remains hopeful about 2025 as economy slides into recession
Bank Indonesia holds rates as rupiah weakens
Bank says inflationary policies under Trump would boost dollar and lead to fewer Fed rate cuts
Central banks to maintain independence despite threats – panel
Top central bankers discuss Trump, AI and why they plan to ignore IMF on rate cuts
More volatility calls for greater agility – Schnabel
ECB official says new tools, including negative rates, may be needed in more disruptive age